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Current Win Probability
Kom Podgorica 38.4%
Draw 31.2%
Podgorica 30.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
34.5%
30%
35.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35%
30.4%
34.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kom Podgorica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
Podgorica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kom Podgorica than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Podgorica than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 7th and 1st in the Promotion - Prva Crnogorska Liga).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kom won 3.
In recent outings, Kom has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Podgorica shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Kom has recorded 7 wins, 8 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 26:26 (averaging 1.3:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Kom against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 13:11 goals (averaging 1.4:1.2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
FK Podgorica
13
6
6
1
23:16
7
24
4
Kom Podgorica
12
6
3
3
18:13
5
21
Last Results with these Odds
Kom Podgorica - the odds 2.57 are the expected chance of winning is 34.52%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.
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