Match Info

Date: 27 June 2022, Monday


	Kongsvinger 2		Hønefoss

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.75	1.39
	5.5	4.8	1.32
	5.4	4.6	1.37
	5.15	5.05	1.36
	6	4.4	1.35
	6.35	5	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.65 ↑ (4.15)	4.77 ↑ (4.24)	1.36 ↓ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kongsvinger 2
15.8%

Draw
18.7%

Hønefoss
65.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.3%

20.9%

57.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.6%

20.2%

59.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kongsvinger 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kongsvinger 2's form might have worsened.

Hønefoss has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hønefoss's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kongsvinger 2 than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hønefoss than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hønefoss, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	20%	30%

Kongsvinger 2 - Hønefoss Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Kongsvinger 2 will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Hønefoss will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kongsvinger 2: 19% – 81%.

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Kongsvinger 2 is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Hønefoss is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Hønefoss is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kongsvinger 2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2
19.06.22	Spjelkavik - Kongsvinger 2	3:0 ✺
11.06.22	Kongsvinger 2 - Hødd 2	1:1 ✺
07.06.22	Molde 2 - Kongsvinger 2	3:0 ✺
29.05.22	Kongsvinger 2 - Aalesunds 2	2:2 ✺
22.05.22	Elverum - Kongsvinger 2	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTLTL
- Hønefoss BK
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2
18.06.22	Hønefoss - Volda	2:0 ✺
12.06.22	Florø - Hønefoss	0:0 ✺
06.06.22	Hønefoss - Førde	1:2 ✺
28.05.22	Lillehammer - Hønefoss	1:1 ✺
23.05.22	Hønefoss - Brumunddal	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WTLTT

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