Match Info

Date: 18 September 2022, Sunday


	Kongsvinger 2		Spjelkavik

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.8	2.1
	2.5	3.85	2.15
	2.55	3.85	2.09
	2.57	4.04	2.1
	2.62	3.7	2.1
	2.62	3.86	2.18
	2.7	4	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↓ (3.5)	3.87 ↑ (3.86)	2.12 ↑ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kongsvinger 2
34.5%

Draw
23.1%

Spjelkavik
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.6%

23.2%

51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26%

23.6%

50.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kongsvinger 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kongsvinger 2's performance.

Spjelkavik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Spjelkavik might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kongsvinger 2 than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kongsvinger 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spjelkavik than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Spjelkavik could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 and 6).

Kongsvinger 2 is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Spjelkavik is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Spjelkavik could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Spjelkavik will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Kongsvinger 2 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kongsvinger 2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2
11.09.22	Volda - Kongsvinger 2	3:3 ✺
06.09.22	Kongsvinger 2 - Molde 2	1:2 ✺
29.08.22	Aalesunds 2 - Kongsvinger 2	6:0 ✺
21.08.22	Kongsvinger 2 - Florø	1:3 ✺
16.08.22	Raufoss 2 - Kongsvinger 2	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TLLLW
- Spjelkavik IL
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2
10.09.22	Spjelkavik - Frøya	4:0 ✺
03.09.22	Brumunddal - Spjelkavik	5:0 ✺
29.08.22	Spjelkavik - Hødd 2	4:1 ✺
20.08.22	Elverum - Spjelkavik	2:0 ✺
13.08.22	Volda - Spjelkavik	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2
19.06.22	Spjelkavik - Kongsvinger 2	3:0

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