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Current Win Probability
Koninklijke HFC 36.6%
Draw 25.5%
Amsterdamsche FC 37.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.1%
25.9%
43%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.7%
25.5%
43.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Koninklijke HFC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Koninklijke HFC's performance.
Amsterdamsche FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Amsterdamsche FC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Koninklijke HFC than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Koninklijke HFC that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amsterdamsche FC than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Amsterdamsche FC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Koninklijke HFC - Amsterdamsche FC Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Bucker K. (G) 3. Heeremans R. 2. Ploem M. (C) 14. Kranthove J. 19. Ras T. 7. Klomp F. 8. Fichtinger M. 6. Gemmel F. 20. de Boer T. 10. Ladan D. 12. Klaasen L.
1. van Zetten G. (G) 4. Ederveen S. 40. van der Graaf L. 55. Letschert T. (C) 5. Claver C. 20. Elstak M. 16. de Mooij S. 18. Bensabouh A. 11. Fonseca R. 9. van der Linden F. 27. Gouda D.
Substitutes
40. Diallo O. 9. Donker N. 44. Meza L. d. 25. Mokhtari N. 77. Morgan A. 11. Mwenda R. 4. van der Weijden J.
28. de Jager G. 13. Hovenkamp T. 30. Huijsman S. (G) 14. Klopper M. 3. Markiet G. 7. Nimmermeer T. 34. Oostwoud C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Bensabouh A. ⚽, Fonseca R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Gemmel F. ↓, Donker N. ↑,
56', Bensabouh A. ↓, Hovenkamp T. ↑,
56', Gouda D. ↓, Nimmermeer T. ↑,
68', 0 - 2, Fonseca R. ⚽,
69', Ras T. ↓, Mwenda R. ↑,
72', Ederveen S. ↓, Klopper M. ↑,
72', Fonseca R. ↓, de Jager G. ↑,
75', Klomp F. ↓, Diallo O. ↑,
83', 0 - 3, de Mooij S. ⚽, Nimmermeer T. (A),
85', 1 - 3, Diallo O. ⚽, Ladan D. (A),
90', Fichtinger M. ↓, Morgan A. ↑,
Preview
A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 13th and 11th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HFC won 3.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, HFC has recorded 8 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 28:18 (averaging 1.8:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for HFC against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 11:5 goals (averaging 1.6:0.7 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
10
AFC
8
3
1
4
12:14
-2
10
16
HFC
8
1
3
4
11:16
-5
6
Last Results with these Odds
Koninklijke HFC - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 31.06%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.
Amsterdamsche FC - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 43.01%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Bucker K. (G) 
Diallo O. 
Oostwoud C. 
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