The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Koninklijke HFC 34.2%
Draw 25.2%
GVVV 40.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.6%
23.8%
33.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.6%
24.9%
32%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Koninklijke HFC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Koninklijke HFC's form might have worsened.
GVVV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting GVVV's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Koninklijke HFC than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Koninklijke HFC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for GVVV than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for GVVV, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Koninklijke HFC - GVVV Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Michaelis M. (C) 23. de Boer T. 3. Heeremans R. 77. Morgan A. 2. Ploem M. 7. Klomp F. 4. Vlak G. 6. Tros K. 11. Beelen I. 21. Bijen T. 87. Ladan D.
31. Evora E. (G) 22. Dumay Q. 2. Dilrosun T. 8. Maguire B. (C) 4. Hillen K. 23. Vink W. 10. Veenhof Q. 20. Potjes J. 6. van Soest A. 9. Latif I. 21. Spies J.
Substitutes
9. Donker N. 15. Kors J. 8. Lahri O. 16. Muller J. 14. Mwenda R. 12. van der Sar J. (G)
43. Brobbey S. 14. Meeuwsen K. 7. Sint V. 29. Slijkhuis G. 16. Vermeer K. (G) 3. Willems M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Ladan D. ⚽, Vlak G. (A),
29', 2 - 0, Tros K. ⚽,
45+1', Ploem M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Hillen K. ↓, Slijkhuis G. ↑,
46', Latif I. ↓, Meeuwsen K. ↑,
64', Bijen T. ↓, Kors J. ↑,
75', Beelen I. ↓, Mwenda R. ↑,
75', Ladan D. ↓, Donker N. ↑,
77', Maguire B. 🟨,
82', Veenhof Q. ↓, Sint V. ↑,
84', Maguire B. 🟨,
86', Vlak G. ↓, Muller J. ↑,
90+3', Meeuwsen K. 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HFC won 1.
HFC has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
GVVV is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, HFC won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:19. (average 1.2:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, HFC won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.5:0.8).