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Current Win Probability
Koper 45.4%
Draw 28.6%
Željezničar Sarajevo 26%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.4%
25.7%
18.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.9%
26.8%
18%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Koper has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Koper's form might have worsened.
Željezničar Sarajevo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Željezničar Sarajevo's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Koper than the current prediction. (+12.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Koper, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Željezničar Sarajevo than the current prediction. (-8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Željezničar Sarajevo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
83.3%
9.5%
7.1%
Koper - Željezničar Sarajevo Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +0.5 - Željezničar (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Koper will win
(34 of 41 users predict this - 82.93%). Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 94.45%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Koper will win (19 of 20 users predict this - 95%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. Koper (votes: 19 - 90.5%). Željezničar (votes: 1 - 4.8%). Tie (votes: 1 - 4.8%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Jurhar M. (G) 32. Mijailovic V. 15. Mittendorfer M. (C) 3. Felipe Curcio 2. Pabai M. 80. Longonda J. 72. Ilicic J. 6. Tomek F. 99. Manseri K. 11. Juric D. 45. Matondo I.
13. Muftic V. (G) 20. Troupee G. 33. Seedorf C. 6. Karamarko M. 3. Alic E. 8. Lagumdzija D. 18. Joao Erick 14. Cvetanoski M. 10. Sosic M. (C) 42. Pejic J. 7. Krpic S.
Substitutes
39. Bohar D. 25. Bonaca T. (G) 22. Celikovic J. 8. Domgjoni T. 10. El Manssouri O. 23. Jovanovic S. 9. Juric T. 69. Negouai B. 21. Omladic N. 12. Strasberger T. (G) 24. Zabkar Z.
1. Abdulahovic T. (G) 23. Boljevic A. 5. Foco A. 17. Ibraheem O. 9. Jaganjac H. 4. Obradov O. 2. Odinaka E. 90. Osmanovic E. 16. Sabic D. 44. Simoni L. 19. Sukilovic M. 11. Vini Peixoto
Coaches
Stojanovic S.
Adzem A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 1)
12', Felipe Curcio 🟨,
25', Mittendorfer M. 🟨,
26', 0 - 1, Krpic S. (Pen),
41', Adzem A. 🟨,
41', Stojanovic S. 🟨,
44', 1 - 1, Mijailovic V. ⚽, Ilicic J. (A),
45+1', 2 - 1, Manseri K. ⚽, Ilicic J. (A),
45+8', 3 - 1, Longonda J. ⚽, Manseri K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Pejic J. ↓, Boljevic A. ↑,
46', Krpic S. ↓, Jaganjac H. ↑,
58', Juric D. ↓, Omladic N. ↑,
62', Seedorf C. 🟨,
67', Omladic N. 🟨,
67', Manseri K. 🟨,
71', Cvetanoski M. ↓, Sabic D. ↑,
74', Sabic D. 🟨,
78', Alic E. ↓, Obradov O. ↑,
81', Sosic M. ↓, Vini Peixoto ↑,
89', Matondo I. ↓, Jovanovic S. ↑,
90+1', Joao Erick 🟨,
90+4', Manseri K. ↓, Celikovic J. ↑,
90+5', Ilicic J. ↓, Bohar D. ↑,
Preview
1st leg result: 1-1. 2nd leg.
Koper has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Željezničar is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Recently, Koper has had a series of away games.
Koper is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Koper won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.