Match Info

GERMANY: Oberliga Bayern Nord - Round 31

Date: 6 April 2024, Saturday


	Kornburg		Bayern Hof

	1	X	2
	2	3.4	3.25
	2.04	3.5	3.36
	2.04	3.5	3.36
	1.96	3.44	3.38
	2	3.4	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.88)	3.45 ↓ (3.47)	3.32 ↓ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kornburg
45.7%

Draw
26.6%

Bayern Hof
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

26.5%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

27.2%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kornburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Bayern Hof has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kornburg than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayern Hof than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
40', 0 - 1, Gezer K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', 0 - 2, Durkan H. ⚽,
73', 1 - 2, Gotz M. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 7).

Kornburg is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bayern Hof in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bayern Hof could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Kornburg will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Kornburg won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Kornburg won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSV Kornburg
German Oberliga Bayern Nord
30.03.24	Fortuna Regensburg - Kornburg	3:3 ✺
22.03.24	Kornburg - Feucht	6:1 ✺
19.03.24	Kornburg - Jahn Regensburg II	0:0 ✺
15.03.24	DJK Ammerthal - Kornburg	1:2 ✺
12.03.24	Kornburg - Eichstätt	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TWTWT
- SpVgg Bayern Hof
German Oberliga Bayern Nord
30.03.24	Bayern Hof - Cham	1:1 ✺
23.03.24	Donaustauf - Bayern Hof	0:7 ✺
19.03.24	Feucht - Bayern Hof	2:3 ✺
16.03.24	Bayern Hof - Neumarkt	3:2 ✺
09.03.24	Abtswind - Bayern Hof	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Bayern Nord
16.09.23	Bayern Hof - Kornburg	3:1
27.05.23	Kornburg - Bayern Hof	2:1
29.10.22	Bayern Hof - Kornburg	2:2

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