Match Info

GERMANY: Oberliga Bayern Nord - Round 11

Date: 24 September 2024, Tuesday


	Kornburg		Fortuna Regensburg

	1	X	2
	2.28	3.75	2.55
	2.31	3.53	2.71
	3.26	3.72	2.05
	2.22	3.72	2.56
	2.28	3.75	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (2.81)	3.69 ↓ (3.76)	2.48 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kornburg
37.6%

Draw
25.1%

Fortuna Regensburg
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

24.2%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

24.4%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kornburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kornburg's performance.

Fortuna Regensburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fortuna Regensburg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kornburg than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kornburg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Regensburg than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fortuna Regensburg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kornburg - Fortuna Regensburg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Ziegler F. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
55', 1 - 1, Schelle M. ⚽,
63', 1 - 2, Sarajlic J. ⚽,
78', 1 - 3, Hoffman K. ⚽,
80', 2 - 3, Dittrich D. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSV Kornburg
German Oberliga Bayern Nord
20.09.24	Kornburg - Eltersdorf	0:0 ✺
06.09.24	Kornburg - Ingolstadt II	5:0 ✺
30.08.24	Eichstätt - Kornburg	3:2 ✺
23.08.24	Kornburg - Weiden	0:2 ✺
17.08.24	Abtswind - Kornburg	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TWLLT
- Fortuna Regensburg
German Oberliga Bayern Nord
21.09.24	Gebenbach - Fortuna Regensburg	1:5 ✺
07.09.24	Neumarkt - Fortuna Regensburg	0:2 ✺
30.08.24	Fortuna Regensburg - DJK Ammerthal	4:0 ✺
24.08.24	Eintracht Münchberg - Fortuna Regensburg	0:5 ✺
17.08.24	Fortuna Regensburg - Eltersdorf	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Bayern Nord
30.03.24	Fortuna Regensburg - Kornburg	3:3
09.09.23	Kornburg - Fortuna Regensburg	1:3

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