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Current Win Probability
Kozakken Boys 34.2%
Draw 25.4%
Noordwijk 40.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.2%
25.6%
41.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.1%
24.8%
42.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kozakken Boys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
Noordwijk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kozakken Boys than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Noordwijk than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Kozakken Boys - Noordwijk Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. ten Hove R. (G) 20. den Besten D. 15. Sas T. 23. Giebels J. 2. Keukens F. (C) 8. Jalloh S. 12. Stout G. 24. Damen G. 7. Maertzdorf C. 9. Ignacio R. 10. El Khayati N.
44. Roggeveen J. (G) 20. Neto 15. da Fonseca G. 17. Groot K. 5. Strooker J. 10. Reemnet R. 8. Franken B. 16. El Kharbachi M. 25. Roep A. 31. Wendt E. (C) 11. Tjin-Asjoe V.
Substitutes
18. Bouter H. 99. Fermina C. 21. Hop S. 16. Koorevaar J. (G) 5. Mashart J. 27. Neral J. 22. van Houwelingen C.
9. Hak J. 18. Marbus R. 3. Reinders D. 1. Schol B. (G) 14. van Duin T. 4. Vink M. 22. Zethof T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
22', Damen G. 🟨,
26', 1 - 0, Jalloh S. ⚽, Giebels J. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
54', 2 - 0, Ignacio R. ⚽, Damen G. (A),
65', Tjin-Asjoe V. ↓, Hak J. ↑,
65', Franken B. ↓, Marbus R. ↑,
66', 3 - 0, El Khayati N. ⚽,
71', Jalloh S. ↓, Fermina C. ↑,
71', El Khayati N. ↓, Hop S. ↑,
74', 4 - 0, Damen G. ⚽,
76', Strooker J. ↓, Vink M. ↑,
76', Neto ↓, Zethof T. ↑,
77', Maertzdorf C. ↓, van Houwelingen C. ↑,
77', den Besten D. ↓, Neral J. ↑,
90', Ignacio R. ↓, Bouter H. ↑,
Preview
1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kozakken Boys won 2.
Recent performances by Kozakken Boys have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Noordwijk is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Kozakken Boys won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.8:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Kozakken Boys won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1:2.3).