Match Info

Merkantil Bank Liga - Round 23

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Kozarmislenyi Stadium (Kozarmisleny)


	Kozármisleny		Kazincbarcikai

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.2	1.95
	3.5	3.25	1.98
	3.59	3.38	2.04	Watch
	3.47	3.25	1.99
	3.5	3.25	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↑ (2.71)	3.27 ↓ (3.37)	1.99 ↓ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kozármisleny
26.2%

Draw
27.9%

Kazincbarcikai
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

26.9%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

26.2%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kozármisleny has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kozármisleny's form might have worsened.

Kazincbarcikai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kazincbarcikai's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kozármisleny than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kozármisleny, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kazincbarcikai than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kazincbarcikai, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Kozármisleny - Kazincbarcikai Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kazincbarcikai (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
66. Lekai S. (G) 10. Atrok I. 16. Cipf D. 5. Gajag G. 15. Horvath P. 6. Kirchner K. 8. Major S. 3. Racz L. 17. Schuszter R. 77. Turi T. 20. Vajda R. O.	1. Fadgyas T. (G) 25. Baranyai N. 27. Bodi A. 5. Debreceni A. 10. Kartik B. 61. Lajcsik V. 15. Lucas 19. Petho B. 23. Pinter A. 13. Polgar K. 21. Ternovan P.
Substitutes
9. Debreceni Z. 55. Horvath D. 23. Kiss B. 70. Kocsis G. 19. Kocs-Washburn E. 11. Kosovshchuk O. 22. Kozics B. 7. Lacza A. 13. Lepo K. 1. Oroszi I. (G) 28. Pesti Z.	14. Csatari G. 70. Demeter M. 24. Dojcsak B. (G) 11. Herjeczki K. 63. Katona I. 52. Kiraly M. (G) 83. Kristof M. 7. Makrai G. 92. Myke 77. Szabo M. 44. Szujo A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Ternovan P. ↓, Katona I. ↑,
64', Pinter A. ↓, Makrai G. ↑,
70', 0 - 1, Debreceni A. ⚽,
72', 1 - 1, Pesti Z. ⚽,
76', Atrok I. ↓, Kocs-Washburn E. ↑,
78', Gajag G. 🟨,
78', Kartik B. 🟨,
84', Horvath P. ↓, Kocsis G. ↑,
84', Racz L. ↓, Horvath D. ↑,
87', Debreceni A. 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 1, Cipf D. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 4 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ OTP Bank Liga).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kozármisleny won 2.

Recent matches Kozármisleny is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kazincbarcikai is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kazincbarcikai will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Kozármisleny won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7:12 (average 1:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Kozármisleny won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:8 (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kozármisleny
Hungarian NB II
30.03.25	Tatabánya - Kozármisleny	0:2 ✺
16.03.25	Kozármisleny - Budafoki	2:0 ✺
10.03.25	Vasas - Kozármisleny	3:1 ✺
03.03.25	Kozármisleny - Kisvárda	2:3 ✺
24.02.25	Budapest Honved - Kozármisleny	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLLL
- Kazincbarcikai
Hungarian NB II
30.03.25	Szentlőrinc - Kazincbarcikai	2:2 ✺
16.03.25	Kazincbarcikai - Tatabánya	3:1 ✺
09.03.25	Gyirmót - Kazincbarcikai	0:0 ✺
02.03.25	Kazincbarcikai - Budafoki	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	BVSC-Zugló - Kazincbarcikai	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB II
29.09.24	Kazincbarcikai - Kozármisleny	2:3
07.04.24	Kozármisleny - Kazincbarcikai	0:2
Hungarian Cup
01.11.23	Kozármisleny - Kazincbarcikai	4:2
Hungarian NB II
01.10.23	Kazincbarcikai - Kozármisleny	1:0
19.02.23	Kozármisleny - Kazincbarcikai	0:3
Hungarian Cup
17.09.22	Kozármisleny - Kazincbarcikai	0:1
Hungarian NB II
21.08.22	Kazincbarcikai - Kozármisleny	1:0

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