The best margin for this event is 11.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Krško 37%
Draw 27.1%
Bilje 35.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.9%
26.4%
39.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.5%
26.7%
40.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Krško has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
Bilje has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krško than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bilje than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Krško - Bilje Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
21', 1 - 0, ⚽,
32', 1 - 1, ⚽,
39', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
85', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 14th and 8th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Krško won 2.
Recent results have been tough for Krško (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Performances by Bilje have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Bilje may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Krško has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:6 (averaging 1:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Krško against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 1:1 goals (averaging 0.3:0.3 per game).
Slovenia
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