Match Info

Supreme Division Women - Round 16

Date: 26 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Malaya Arena (Krasnodar)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Russia	Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 2


	Krasnodar		Spartak Moscow

	1	X	2
	8.73	4.44	1.37
	8.6	4.3	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.67 ↑ (4.34)	4.37 ↓ (4.4)	1.35 ↓ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Krasnodar
10.6%

Draw
21.1%

Spartak Moscow
68.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.3%

21%

57.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.2%

19.9%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Krasnodar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Krasnodar's form might have worsened.

Spartak Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Spartak Moscow's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krasnodar than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Krasnodar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Moscow than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Spartak Moscow, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Silina N. (C) 9. Yastrebinskaya S. 14. Piligrym A. 22. Smirnova V. 23. Timonina S. 5. Klochko V. 8. Organova P. 10. Vorotyntseva I. 17. Likhota A. 32. Shuba A. 74. Boldyreva M.	1. Scherbakova E. (G) 3. Kozhnikova A. (C) 4. Bogdan V. 21. Morozova N. 23. Kulis L. 7. Yakupova L. 8. Blagojevic D. 10. Fedorova M. 20. Filipovic T. 93. Petkus C. 11. Cherkasova K.
Substitutes
27. Bachurina V. 99. Jafarzade S. 95. Kadigrob A. 7. Karataeva A. 54. Krivenko E. 20. Milyaeva V. 6. Novosad D. 25. Samoylenko K. 88. Taymazova E. (G) 45. Vartanyan M.	5. Baklanova K. 13. Ivanusa L. 44. Khaliulina A. 12. Kolokolchikova A. 9. Mashina N. 18. Myagkova A. 24. Nosenko V. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Klochko V. ↓, Novosad D. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Cherkasova K. ↓, Mashina N. ↑,
46', Bogdan V. ↓, Myagkova A. ↑,
48', 0 - 1, Yakupova L. ⚽, Kulis L. (A),
73', Shuba A. ↓, Samoylenko K. ↑,
73', Vorotyntseva I. ↓, Karataeva A. ↑,
76', Yakupova L. ↓, Ivanusa L. ↑,
86', Novosad D. ↓, Kadigrob A. ↑,
86', Likhota A. ↓, Jafarzade S. ↑,
86', Organova P. ↓, Krivenko E. ↑,
90', Filipovic T. ↓, Khaliulina A. ↑,
90+2', Krivenko E. 🟨,
90+4', Kulis L. ↓, Kolokolchikova A. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 6 and 2).

Krasnodar has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Spartak is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Krasnodar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Spartak has had a series of away games.

In this match, Spartak is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Krasnodar won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:6. (average 0:2).

Including home match between the teams, Krasnodar won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- WFC Krasnodar
Russian Supreme Division Women
19.07.25	Krylya Sovetov - Krasnodar	3:1 ✺
11.07.25	Zenit - Krasnodar	1:0 ✺
Russian Cup Women
07.07.25	Chertanovo - Krasnodar	0:2 ✺
Russian Supreme Division Women
21.06.25	Krasnodar - Chertanovo	0:2 ✺
14.06.25	Krasnodar - CSKA Moscow	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LLWLW
- Spartak Moscow Women
Russian Supreme Division Women
12.07.25	Dynamo Moscow - Spartak Moscow	0:2 ✺
Russian Cup Women
06.07.25	Rubin Kazan - Spartak Moscow	1:5 ✺
Russian Supreme Division Women
22.06.25	Spartak Moscow - Rubin Kazan	6:0 ✺
14.06.25	Zvezda 2005 Perm - Spartak Moscow	0:1 ✺
Friendly International Women
30.05.25	Russia W - Spartak Moscow	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian Supreme Division Women
22.03.25	Spartak Moscow - Krasnodar	3:0
20.10.24	Krasnodar - Spartak Moscow	0:3
18.05.24	Spartak Moscow - Krasnodar	0:0

Krasnodar - Spartak Moscow: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide