Match Info

Date: 26 September 2020, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Krasnyy Smolensk		Ryazan

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Krasnyy Smolensk
31%

Draw
27.8%

Ryazan
41.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.6%

30.2%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8%

21.9%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Krasnyy Smolensk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Ryazan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ryazan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krasnyy Smolensk than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Krasnyy Smolensk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ryazan than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ryazan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Both teams are now playing unstable.

Ryazan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Krasnyy Smolensk
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
12.09.20	Metallurg Lipetsk - Krasnyy Smolensk	0:0 ✺
06.09.20	Krasnyy Smolensk - Strogino Moskva	0:1 ✺
29.08.20	Salyut Belgorod - Krasnyy Smolensk	0:0 ✺
23.08.20	Krasnyy Smolensk - Krasnoye Znamya	1:1 ✺
15.08.20	Fakel Voronezh 2 - Krasnyy Smolensk	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TLTTW
- FC Ryazan
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
20.09.20	Ryazan - Metallurg Lipetsk	1:2 ✺
12.09.20	Strogino Moskva - Ryazan	2:1 ✺
06.09.20	Ryazan - Salyut Belgorod	0:0 ✺
29.08.20	Krasnoye Znamya - Ryazan	1:2 ✺
23.08.20	Ryazan - Fakel Voronezh 2	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLTWW

Krasnyy Smolensk - Ryazan