Match Info

Date: 13 September 2020, Sunday


	Krupa		Sloboda Užice

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.4	5
	1.72	3.4	4.33
	2.04	2.9	3.35
	1.77	3.25	4.2
	1.83	3.28	4.81
	1.7	3.4	4.5
	1.76	3.4	4.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (2.1)	3.29 ↑ (3.22)	4.38 ↑ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Krupa
51.3%

Draw
27.8%

Sloboda Užice
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

28.6%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

18.7%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Krupa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Krupa's performance.

Sloboda Užice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sloboda Užice might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krupa than the current prediction. (-22.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Krupa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sloboda Užice than the current prediction. (+21.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sloboda Užice could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
96.5%	2.3%	1.2%

Krupa - Sloboda Užice Predictions

Users Predictions: Krupa will win (165 of 171 users predict this - 96.49%).
Confidence interval (95%): 93.73% – 99.25%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation to FBiH and 8).

Krupa is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Sloboda is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Krupa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Krupa will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Krupa won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Krupa won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Krupa
Bosnian Premier League
31.08.20	Borac Banja Luka - Krupa	3:1 ✺
23.08.20	Krupa - Radnik Bijeljina	1:1 ✺
15.08.20	Velež Mostar - Krupa	2:0 ✺
12.08.20	Krupa - Olimpic Sarajevo	1:0 ✺
08.08.20	Tuzla City - Krupa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LTLWL
- FK Sloboda Užice
Bosnian Premier League
29.08.20	Sloboda Užice - Široki Brijeg	3:0 ✺
22.08.20	Zrinjski Mostar - Sloboda Užice	1:0 ✺
15.08.20	Sloboda Užice - Željezničar Sarajevo	0:2 ✺
12.08.20	Sloboda Užice - Mladost Doboj Kakanj	3:0 ✺
07.08.20	Borac Banja Luka - Sloboda Užice	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Bosnian Premier League
11.05.19	Sloboda Užice - Krupa	1:2
03.11.18	Krupa - Sloboda Užice	0:1
15.08.18	Sloboda Užice - Krupa	1:0
04.11.17	Sloboda Užice - Krupa	2:2
06.08.17	Krupa - Sloboda Užice	0:0
20.05.17	Sloboda Užice - Krupa	1:3
15.04.17	Krupa - Sloboda Užice	3:0

Krupa - Sloboda Užice: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide