Match Info

Date: 12 December 2020, Saturday


	Krupa		Željezničar Sarajevo

	1	X	2
	12	4.75	1.25
	10	4.1	1.3
	9	3.95	1.27
	10	4.5	1.26
	9.64	4.43	1.36
	12	4.33	1.27
	10.75	4.7	1.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.48 ↑ (5.98)	4.39 ↑ (3.6)	1.28 ↓ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Krupa
8.7%

Draw
20.7%

Željezničar Sarajevo
70.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.1%

25%

59.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.7%

21%

71.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Krupa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Krupa's form might have worsened.

Željezničar Sarajevo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Željezničar Sarajevo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krupa than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Željezničar Sarajevo than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Krupa - Željezničar Sarajevo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation to Prva Liga to FBiH and 2 in the zone Promotion to Europa Conference League (Qualification)).

Krupa is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Željezničar is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Krupa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Željezničar is absolute favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Krupa won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 11-25.

Including matches at home between the teams Krupa won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Krupa
Bosnian Premier League
06.12.20	Sloboda Užice - Krupa	2:0 ✺
02.12.20	Krupa - Borac Banja Luka	1:3 ✺
29.11.20	Radnik Bijeljina - Krupa	1:1 ✺
22.11.20	Krupa - Velež Mostar	1:1 ✺
07.11.20	Olimpic Sarajevo - Krupa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLTTT
- Željezničar Sarajevo
Bosnian Premier League
06.12.20	Željezničar Sarajevo - Široki Brijeg	2:3 ✺
02.12.20	Zrinjski Mostar - Željezničar Sarajevo	1:2 ✺
27.11.20	Mladost Doboj Kakanj - Željezničar Sarajevo	0:4 ✺
21.11.20	Željezničar Sarajevo - Sloboda Užice	2:2 ✺
09.11.20	Borac Banja Luka - Željezničar Sarajevo	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Bosnian Premier League
19.09.20	Željezničar Sarajevo - Krupa	0:1
20.04.19	Željezničar Sarajevo - Krupa	3:0
24.11.18	Krupa - Željezničar Sarajevo	2:1
26.08.18	Željezničar Sarajevo - Krupa	1:1
Bosnian Cup
09.05.18	Krupa - Željezničar Sarajevo	0:4
02.05.18	Željezničar Sarajevo - Krupa	2:0
Bosnian Premier League
21.04.18	Krupa - Željezničar Sarajevo	2:0

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