Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 8 August 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Košická futbalová aréna (Košice) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Gishamer S. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Czech Republic	20:00	Sport 2


	Kryvbas		Viktoria Plzeň

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.9	1.65	Watch
	4.8	4.1	1.65
	4.75	4	1.66	Watch
	4.7	4.09	1.68
	4.77	4.12	1.67	Watch
	4.6	3.9	1.57
	4.77	4.05	1.69
	4.75	4	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.68 ↑ (3.5)	4.02 ↑ (3.6)	1.65 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kryvbas
20%

Draw
23.3%

Viktoria Plzeň
56.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26.9%

26.1%

47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4%

25.7%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kryvbas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kryvbas's form might have worsened.

Viktoria Plzeň has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Viktoria Plzeň's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kryvbas than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kryvbas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Viktoria Plzeň than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Viktoria Plzeň, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.8%	8.8%	82.5%

Kryvbas - Viktoria Plzeň Predictions

Users Predictions: Viktoria Plzeň will win (46 of 55 users predict this - 83.64%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.86% – 93.42%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Klishchuk A. (G) 7. Ponedelnik A. 3. Romanchuk O. 5. Stetskov T. 55. Dibango I. 8. Bizimana D. 21. Kuzyk D. 22. Vakulko Y. (C) 11. Tverdokhlib Y. 20. Mykytyshyn A. 80. Adu P. K.	13. Tvrdon M. (G) 40. Dweh S. 3. Hranac R. 21. Jemelka V. 24. Havel M. 6. Cerv L. 23. Kalvach L. (C) 10. Kopic J. 31. Sulc P. 20. Panos J. 11. Vydra M.
Substitutes
25. Bandeira 15. Drambayev O. 1. Khoma B. (G) 10. Khomchenovskyi D. 78. Kozhushko O. 14. Lunyov M. 30. Makhankov V. (G) 27. Matteo Amoroso 97. Poe J. 9. Sosah D.	14. Bello J. 33. Jirka E. 93. Metsoko I. 26. Mika V. 18. Mosquera J. 9. Ricardinho 4. Sene C. 15. Silhavy M. (G) 29. Sloncik T. 12. Sojka A. 51. Vasulin D. 1. Wiegele F. (G)
Coaches
Vernydub Y.	Koubek M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Adu P. K. 🟨,
20', 1 - 0, Adu P. K. ⚽, Dibango I. (A),
32', Panos J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Vydra M. ↓, Vasulin D. ↑,
48', 1 - 1, Panos J. ⚽, Cerv L. (A),
55', Tverdokhlib Y. ↓, Lunyov M. ↑,
63', Dibango I. 🟨,
64', Panos J. ↓, Sloncik T. ↑,
66', Mykytyshyn A. ↓, Sosah D. ↑,
66', Kuzyk D. ↓, Drambayev O. ↑,
69', 1 - 2, Vasulin D. ⚽, Sulc P. (A),
74', Vasulin D. 🟨,
74', Vakulko Y. 🟨,
81', Vakulko Y. ↓, Matteo Amoroso ↑,
81', Adu P. K. ↓, Kozhushko O. ↑,
90+1', Sulc P. ↓, Jirka E. ↑,
90+1', Havel M. ↓, Mosquera J. ↑,
90+5', Cerv L. ↓, Sojka A. ↑,

Preview

1st leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Košická futbalová aréna.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Plzeň could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Kryvbas have a series of home games.

In this match Plzeň is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Kryvbas won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Last Results with these Odds

Viktoria Plzeň - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 47.01%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kryvbas
Ukrainian Premier League
03.08.24	Kryvbas - Chornomorets Odesa	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
23.07.24	Kryvbas - Çaykur Rizespor	3:4 ✺
20.07.24	Kryvbas - Al Bataeh	1:1 ✺
17.07.24	Dinamo Zagreb - Kryvbas	0:2 ✺
13.07.24	Kryvbas - Sabah	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLTWT
- Viktoria Plzeň
Czech 1 Liga
03.08.24	Jablonec - Viktoria Plzeň	0:0 ✺
28.07.24	Viktoria Plzeň - Hradec Králové	1:0 ✺
20.07.24	Dukla Prague - Viktoria Plzeň	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
12.07.24	Viktoria Plzeň - Copenhagen	3:3 ✺
09.07.24	Viktoria Plzeň - Qarabağ Agdam	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
28.01.24	Viktoria Plzeň - Kryvbas	3:0

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