Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 11

Date: 30 December 2025, Tuesday


	Ksar		Gendrim

	1	X	2
	2.22	3.21	3.02	Watch
	3.8	2.3	2.3
	2.2	3	3.2
	2.05	2.9	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↓ (4.6)	2.85 ↓ (3.3)	3.03 ↑ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ksar
36.4%

Draw
32.8%

Gendrim
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.7%

27.5%

52.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.6%

27.3%

53.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ksar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ksar's performance.

Gendrim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gendrim might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ksar than the current prediction. (-16.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ksar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gendrim than the current prediction. (+22.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gendrim could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	40%	60%

Ksar - Gendrim Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Gendrim will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Gendrim (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Ksar (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Ksar (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Gendrim (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ksar won 1.

Ksar has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Gendrim's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Gendrim may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Gendrim is considered a favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Ksar won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Ksar won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ACS Ksar
Mauritania Ligue 1
20.12.25	Kaédi - Ksar	1:1 ✺
16.12.25	Ksar - Nouadhibou	0:2 ✺
06.12.25	Chemal - Ksar	1:0 ✺
29.11.25	Ksar - Nouakchott Academie	0:2 ✺
08.11.25	Ksar - Pompier	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TLLLL
- ASC Gendrim
Mauritania Ligue 1
19.12.25	Gendrim - Nzeidane	1:2 ✺
13.12.25	Tevragh-Zeina - Gendrim	1:2 ✺
07.12.25	Kaédi - Gendrim	0:0 ✺
03.12.25	Gendrim - Nouadhibou	0:2 ✺
19.11.25	Chemal - Gendrim	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Mauritania Ligue 1
06.05.25	Ksar - Gendrim	2:1
01.01.25	Gendrim - Ksar	1:0
25.02.24	Gendrim - Ksar	1:1
26.09.23	Ksar - Gendrim	0:1
09.05.23	Gendrim - Ksar	3:1
04.12.22	Ksar - Gendrim	2:0

Ksar - Gendrim: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide