Match Info

Ykkonen

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Vare Areena (Kuopio)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	KuPS Akatemia		Jazz Pori

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.8	2.88
	1.82	3.75	3.25
	1.98	3.75	2.92
	2.07	4.12	3.04
	1.99	4.15	2.92	Watch
	2	3.75	2.9
	1.96	3.88	3.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.95)	3.89 ↑ (3.8)	2.99 ↓ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KuPS Akatemia
46.2%

Draw
23.4%

Jazz Pori
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

24%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

22.9%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KuPS Akatemia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Jazz Pori has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KuPS Akatemia than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jazz Pori than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

KuPS Akatemia - Jazz Pori Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kauppinen K. (G) 6. Balde O. 26. Baseme A. 8. Kivijarvi J. 24. Leivonen A. 23. Mattila N. 21. Oksanen N. 7. Paasisalo L. 17. Tanninen E. 3. Tikkanen R. 13. Tuomainen P.	1. Kangasaho T. (G) 8. Kaipiainen E. 5. Lakkamaki J. 19. Lamminen F. 2. Lemio J. 4. Luhtanen A. 3. Nuorela J. 17. Nuorela L. 16. Petrishin J. 29. Raitanen P. 12. Vare E.
Substitutes
12. Aimola J. (G) 25. Haarma K. 14. Hautakangas P. 4. Hukkanen T. 9. Huttunen D. 30. Kantelinen S. 20. Karkkainen E. 11. Nguyen H. 5. Tahkola R.	6. Aydin N. 11. Eranka S. 9. Lamberg E. 30. Majaluoma O. 26. Takala A. (G) 20. Tuominen E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
41', Lemio J. 🟨,
44', 0 - 1, Lakkamaki J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', Tikkanen R. 🟨,
60', 0 - 2, Lakkamaki J. ⚽,
61', Balde O. ↓, Tahkola R. ↑,
61', Paasisalo L. ↓, Huttunen D. ↑,
65', 1 - 2, (Own goal),
73', Luhtanen A. ↓, Aydin N. ↑,
74', Nuorela L. 🟨,
77', Tanninen E. ↓, Hautakangas P. ↑,
86', Tikkanen R. ↓, Karkkainen E. ↑,
86', Kaipiainen E. ↓, Lamberg E. ↑,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 9 in the zone Ykkonen (Relegation Group: ) and 11 in the zone Ykkonen (Relegation Group: ))

KuPS Akatemia is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Jazz's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, KuPS Akatemia has had a series of away games.

KuPS Akatemia could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, KuPS Akatemia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1.5:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, KuPS Akatemia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KuPS Akatemia
Finnish Ykkonen
02.05.26	VJS Vantaa - KuPS Akatemia	0:0 ✺
Finnish Cup
28.04.26	Huima Urho - KuPS Akatemia	0:4 ✺
Finnish Ykkonen
24.04.26	KuPS Akatemia - Tampereen Pallo-Veikot	3:0 ✺
18.04.26	Tampere United - KuPS Akatemia	4:0 ✺
Finnish Cup
14.04.26	Lahden Reipas - KuPS Akatemia	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 TWWLW
- FC Jazz Pori
Finnish Ykkonen
02.05.26	Tampereen Pallo-Veikot - Jazz Pori	0:2 ✺
25.04.26	Jazz Pori - JJK Jyväskylä	0:2 ✺
20.04.26	KPV Kokkola - Jazz Pori	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	Jazz Pori - Keski-Uusimaa	1:5 ✺
02.04.26	Tampere United - Jazz Pori	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkonen
16.07.25	Jazz Pori - KuPS Akatemia	2:1
20.04.25	KuPS Akatemia - Jazz Pori	2:1
29.06.24	KuPS Akatemia - Jazz Pori	2:0
27.04.24	Jazz Pori - KuPS Akatemia	6:1

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