Match Info

SWEDEN: Division 2 - Norra Götaland - Round 6

Date: 4 May 2024, Saturday


	Kumla		Forward

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.6	2.9
	2.2	3.75	2.7
	2.26	3.71	2.54
	2.1	3.5	2.75
	2.23	3.72	2.85
	2.2	3.75	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (1.89)	3.67 ↓ (3.83)	2.74 ↓ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kumla
42.1%

Draw
24.8%

Forward
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

24.2%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

20.8%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kumla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kumla's form might have worsened.

Forward has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Forward's recent form is better than expected.

The ML Model estimate for Kumla aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forward than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 4)
7', 0 - 1, Turken E. ⚽,
22', 0 - 2, Wetteus A. ⚽,
24', 0 - 3, Eriksson S. ⚽,
42', 0 - 4, Turken E. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
55', 1 - 4, ⚽,
60', 2 - 4, ⚽,
72', 3 - 4, ⚽,
74', 4 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Kumla is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Forward has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Kumla could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Kumla will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Kumla won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Kumla won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Kumla
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
28.04.24	Vänersborgs IF - Kumla	1:0 ✺
21.04.24	Kumla - Säffle	2:1 ✺
13.04.24	Kongahälla - Kumla	2:1 ✺
06.04.24	Kumla - Gauthiod	2:0 ✺
29.03.24	Herrestads - Kumla	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWLWL
- BK Forward
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
27.04.24	Forward - Vänersborgs FK	0:2 ✺
19.04.24	Motala - Forward	2:1 ✺
14.04.24	Forward - Stenungsunds	1:2 ✺
06.04.24	IFK Skövde - Forward	2:2 ✺
29.03.24	Forward - Grebbestad	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
04.08.21	Kumla - Forward	0:1
09.06.21	Forward - Kumla	3:1
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Svealand
17.08.20	Forward - Kumla	1:0

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