Match Info

Division 2 - Norra Götaland - Round 25

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday


	Kumla		Kongahälla

	1	X	2
	2.78	3.85	2.12
	2.57	3.75	2.25
	2.50	3.78	2.40	Watch
	2.74	3.74	2.15
	4.21	4.4	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↓ (4.23)	3.9 ↓ (4.43)	2.11 ↑ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kumla
31.6%

Draw
24%

Kongahälla
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.8%

20.8%

57.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.2%

18%

49.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kumla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kumla's performance.

Kongahälla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kongahälla might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kumla than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kumla that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kongahälla than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kongahälla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Kumla - Kongahälla Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Kumla will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kumla (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Kumla (1.82) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Kumla (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, Mannerstal M. ⚽,
42', 1 - 1, Janneh F. ⚽,
45', 2 - 1, Damstrom R. ⚽,
45+3', 3 - 1, Andersson Segerlind J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
50', 4 - 1, Andersson Segerlind J. (Pen),
58', 4 - 2, Pilier F. ⚽,
87', 4 - 3, Pilier F. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 12 in the zone Division 2 ~ Norra Gu00f6taland (Relegation) and 5).

In recent matches, Kumla has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kongahälla is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Kumla may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Kongahälla is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Kumla won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).

Including home match between the teams, Kumla won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Kumla
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
05.10.25	Kumla - Grebbestad	3:2 ✺
27.09.25	Tidaholms GoIF - Kumla	1:2 ✺
19.09.25	Kumla - Motala	1:3 ✺
13.09.25	Vänersborgs IF - Kumla	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Kumla - Haga	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWLTT
- IK Kongahälla
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
04.10.25	FBK Karlstad - Kongahälla	1:0 ✺
26.09.25	Kongahälla - Herrestads	0:1 ✺
19.09.25	Kongahälla - Lidkoping	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Motala - Kongahälla	5:1 ✺
05.09.25	Kongahälla - Vänersborgs IF	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
29.05.25	Kongahälla - Kumla	3:1
11.08.24	Kumla - Kongahälla	3:1
13.04.24	Kongahälla - Kumla	2:1

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