The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kungsängen 22.5%
Draw 23.1%
Falu 54.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.5%
24.8%
47.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.6%
24%
49.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kungsängen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
Falu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Falu's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kungsängen than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Falu than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Falu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Kungsängen - Falu Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, ⚽,
16', 1 - 1, ⚽,
35', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
82', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 11th and 4th).
Kungsängen has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Falu is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Recently, Kungsängen has faced a series of away games on the road.
Bookmakers give the edge to Falu for this game.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Kungsängen has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:6 (averaging 1:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Kungsängen against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 4:3 goals (averaging 2:1.5 per game).