Match Info

TURKEY: 3. Lig Group 1 - Round 12

Date: 24 November 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Kusadasispor		Ergene Velimeşe

	1	X	2
	1.87	3.35	3.75
	1.8	3.15	3.55
	1.87	3.38	3.87
	1.87	3.3	3.82
	1.87	3.35	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.85)	3.31 ↑ (3.29)	3.75 ↑ (3.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kusadasispor
48.6%

Draw
27.3%

Ergene Velimeşe
24.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.5%

27.3%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

23.7%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kusadasispor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Ergene Velimeşe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kusadasispor than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kusadasispor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ergene Velimeşe than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Kusadasispor - Ergene Velimeşe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Kusadasispor is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ergene Velimeşe is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ergene Velimeşe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Kusadasispor is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Kusadasispor won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:4 (average 3.5:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Kusadasispor won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kusadasispor
Turkish 3 Lig Group 1
17.11.24	Kırşehir - Kusadasispor	2:3 ✺
10.11.24	Kusadasispor - Tokat Belediye Plevne Spor	1:0 ✺
03.11.24	Bursaspor - Kusadasispor	4:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
30.10.24	Kusadasispor - Karaköprü	1:2 ✺
Turkish 3 Lig Group 1
26.10.24	Kusadasispor - Düzcespor	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.7 WWLLL
- Ergene Velimeşe
Turkish 3 Lig Group 1
10.11.24	Düzcespor - Ergene Velimeşe	4:0 ✺
03.11.24	Ergene Velimeşe - Karşıyaka	1:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
30.10.24	Ergene Velimeşe - Sebat Gençlik	0:3 ✺
Turkish 3 Lig Group 1
26.10.24	Bornova - Ergene Velimeşe	2:0 ✺
20.10.24	Ergene Velimeşe - Artvin Hopaspor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish 3 Lig Group 2
05.03.23	Ergene Velimeşe - Kusadasispor	1:3
02.10.22	Kusadasispor - Ergene Velimeşe	4:3

Kusadasispor - Ergene Velimeşe