Match Info

NPFL - Round 5

Date: 2 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Kwara Sports Stadium (Ilorin)


	Kwara United		Plateau United

	1	X	2
	1.39	3.6	8.6
	1.38	3.67	8.44
	1.76	2.86	6.19	Watch
	1.39	3.44	11.4
	1.46	3.6	7.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.41)	3.43 ↑ (3.27)	8.49 ↓ (11.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kwara United
62.4%

Draw
26.8%

Plateau United
10.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

27.7%

8.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kwara United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Plateau United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Kwara United - Plateau United Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kwara (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Nurudeen B. (G) 22. Abdulafeez M. 29. Adeyinka A. 14. Aimufua J. 5. Aule J. 21. Emmanuel I. 18. Gatta I. 34. Ogbonna A. 12. Ogunribide S. 4. Ozor P. 28. Salawudeen A.	18. Adeyanju K. 21. Bala F. 6. Biweribo T. 5. Davou J. 24. Ebah H. (C) 13. Enewarikpemi A. 2. Mancha S. 26. Okechukwu J. 9. Saka G. 7. Temitope V. 16. Ugwueze C.
Substitutes
10. Alao M. 32. Bankole A. 20. Gidado T. 16. Jimoh W. 23. Kabiru M. 17. Mubarak S. 15. Olanreaju 8. Shola A. 35. Yekini K. (G)	30. Adaralegbe T. 29. Dabo J. 33. Dawa V. 14. Habib A. 22. John A. 20. Kefas M. 37. Magit P. 11. Mojereola S. 4. Osadebe G. 34. Usman M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 🟨,
45+4', 1 - 0, Aimufua J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 🟨,
58', 1 - 1, Temitope V. ⚽,
72', 🟨,
79', 2 - 1, Aule J. ⚽,
90', 🟨,
90', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kwara won 0.

Plateau United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Kwara is the clear favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Kwara won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.8:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Kwara won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kwara United
CAF Confederation Cup
28.09.25	Kwara United - Asante Kotoko	0:1 ✺
21.09.25	Asante Kotoko - Kwara United	4:3 ✺
Nigerian Premier League
07.09.25	Kwara United - Kun Khalifa	2:0 ✺
31.08.25	Rivers United - Kwara United	1:0 ✺
Nigerian Federation Cup
28.06.25	AbakalIki - Kwara United	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLWLW
- Plateau United
Nigerian Premier League
27.09.25	Plateau United - El-Kanemi Warriors	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Plateau United - Remo Stars	2:0 ✺
31.08.25	Plateau United - Katsina United	1:2 ✺
24.08.25	Wikki Tourists - Plateau United	1:0 ✺
11.05.25	Plateau United - Lobi Stars	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Nigerian Premier League
06.04.25	Plateau United - Kwara United	0:0
08.06.24	Plateau United - Kwara United	2:0
Nigerian Federation Cup
28.05.23	Plateau United - Kwara United	1:0
Nigerian Premier League
05.02.23	Plateau United - Kwara United	1:0
11.04.22	Kwara United - Plateau United	1:1
16.05.21	Kwara United - Plateau United	2:0
27.12.20	Plateau United - Kwara United	0:2

Kwara United - Plateau United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide