Match Info

Regionalliga West - Round 28

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday


	Köln II		Fortuna Düsseldorf II

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.5	2.72
	2.29	3.8	2.93
	2.24	3.5	2.81
	2.24	3.26	2.87
	2.03	3.58	3.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.03)	3.53 ↓ (3.62)	2.87 ↓ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Köln II
41.6%

Draw
26.2%

Fortuna Düsseldorf II
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

25.3%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

25.4%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Köln II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Fortuna Düsseldorf II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Köln II than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf II than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Köln II - Fortuna Düsseldorf II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+1', 0 - 1, Barth T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
84', 0 - 2, Bindemann D. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Köln II won 1.

Köln II is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Fortuna II has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Köln II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Köln II has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Köln II won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:25. (average 1.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Köln II won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.3:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Koln II	10	4	2	4	19:18	1	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. Köln II
German Regionalliga West
27.03.26	Siegen - Köln II	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Gütersloh - Köln II	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Köln II - Rot-Weiß Oberhausen	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Borussia Mönchengladbach II - Köln II	0:2 ✺
04.03.26	Wiedenbrück - Köln II	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLLWT
- Fortuna Düsseldorf II
German Regionalliga West
28.03.26	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Fortuna Köln	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Schalke 04 II	0:0 ✺
13.03.26	Borussia Dortmund II - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	4:1 ✺
07.03.26	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Rödinghausen	3:1 ✺
27.02.26	Velbert - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
03.10.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Köln II	3:3
01.02.25	Köln II - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	0:2
10.08.24	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Köln II	0:0
18.05.24	Köln II - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	3:2
24.11.23	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Köln II	3:2
18.02.23	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Köln II	0:0
26.08.22	Köln II - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	3:1

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