Match Info

Regionalliga West - Round 4

Date: 17 August 2025, Sunday


	Köln II		Siegen

	1	X	2
	2.78	3.7	2.18
	2.62	3.67	2.4
	2.77	3.62	2.17
	3.5	3.8	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↓ (3.2)	3.7 (3.7)	2.13 ↑ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Köln II
31.7%

Draw
25%

Siegen
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

23.8%

48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

23.6%

49.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Köln II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Siegen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Siegen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Köln II than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Siegen than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Siegen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Köln II - Siegen Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Köln II (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Köln II (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Willms D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
57', 0 - 2, Kader C. ⚽,
63', 1 - 2, El Mala M. ⚽,
75', 1 - 3, Brock D. ⚽,
80', 1 - 4, Oubeyapwa S. ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 4, Ajani M. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Köln II won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Köln II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Siegen has had a series of home games.

Siegen is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Köln II won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Köln II won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. Köln II
German Regionalliga West
08.08.25	Paderborn II - Köln II	5:0 ✺
02.08.25	Köln II - Wiedenbrück	3:0 ✺
26.07.25	Bocholt - Köln II	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
19.07.25	Köln II - TSV Steinbach Haiger	2:1 ✺
04.07.25	Eintracht Trier - Köln II	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLWL
- Sportfreunde Siegen
German Regionalliga West
09.08.25	Siegen - Schalke 04 II	2:2 ✺
03.08.25	Borussia Dortmund II - Siegen	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
30.07.25	Siegen - Borussia Dortmund	1:8 ✺
German Regionalliga West
26.07.25	Siegen - Rödinghausen	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
12.07.25	Siegen - Kickers Offenbach	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
13.01.18	Köln II - Siegen	3:0
German Regionalliga West
19.02.17	Siegen - Köln II	3:2
14.08.16	Köln II - Siegen	1:1
02.05.15	Köln II - Siegen	0:0
02.11.14	Siegen - Köln II	1:0
17.05.14	Siegen - Köln II	3:1
29.11.13	Köln II - Siegen	0:2

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