Match Info

Division 3 - Group 3 - Round 20

Date: 15 September 2025, Monday


	Lørenskog		Strømsgodset 2

	1	X	2
	1.44	5.25	4.4
	1.13	9.92	10.41	Watch
	1.27	5.8	7.18
	1.06	11	17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.55)	7.99 ↑ (4.75)	9.75 ↑ (4.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lørenskog
78.2%

Draw
12%

Strømsgodset 2
9.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

19.3%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

18.8%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lørenskog has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lørenskog's performance.

Strømsgodset 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Strømsgodset 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lørenskog than the current prediction. (-17.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lørenskog that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strømsgodset 2 than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Strømsgodset 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Lørenskog - Strømsgodset 2 Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Lørenskog will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Lørenskog (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Sesay G. ⚽,
31', 1 - 1, Werni S. ⚽,
38', 2 - 1, Henriksen J. ⚽,
45+2', 3 - 1, Harvey A. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
50', 4 - 1, Folstad L. ⚽,
52', 5 - 1, Werni S. ⚽,
90', 6 - 1, Bal Singh M. P. ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lørenskog won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Lørenskog may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Lørenskog is the team to beat.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Lørenskog won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:18. (average 2.8:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Lørenskog won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lørenskog IK
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 3
06.09.25	Nordstrand - Lørenskog	0:3 ✺
30.08.25	Lørenskog - Bjørkelangen Høland	2:2 ✺
23.08.25	Gjøvik-Lyn - Lørenskog	2:0 ✺
18.08.25	Lørenskog - HamKam 2	3:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
13.08.25	Lørenskog - Lillestrøm SK	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WTLWL
- Strømsgodset IF 2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 3
06.09.25	Strømsgodset 2 - Åssiden	2:0 ✺
01.09.25	Strømsgodset 2 - Kongsvinger 2	6:0 ✺
25.08.25	Elverum - Strømsgodset 2	10:0 ✺
18.08.25	Strømsgodset 2 - Nordstrand	4:4 ✺
10.08.25	HamKam 2 - Strømsgodset 2	9:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 3
07.06.25	Strømsgodset 2 - Lørenskog	2:7
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 6
19.09.22	Lørenskog - Strømsgodset 2	2:2
29.05.22	Strømsgodset 2 - Lørenskog	5:3
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2
13.08.18	Lørenskog - Strømsgodset 2	1:3
23.04.18	Strømsgodset 2 - Lørenskog	4:3
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
17.10.15	Strømsgodset 2 - Lørenskog	2:1

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