Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group III - Round 12

Date: 12 October 2024, Saturday


	LGKS 38 Podlesianka		Stal Brzeg

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.4	2.87
	2.13	3.55	2.9
	2.13	3.63	2.67
	2.19	3.68	2.78	Watch
	2.2	3.36	2.88	Watch
	2.13	3.55	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (1.69)	3.53 ↓ (4)	2.83 ↓ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

LGKS 38 Podlesianka
42.4%

Draw
25.7%

Stal Brzeg
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

22.7%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

22.1%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

LGKS 38 Podlesianka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that LGKS 38 Podlesianka's form might have worsened.

Stal Brzeg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stal Brzeg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for LGKS 38 Podlesianka than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for LGKS 38 Podlesianka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Brzeg than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stal Brzeg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

LGKS 38 Podlesianka - Stal Brzeg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
79', 1 - 0, Lubaski A. ⚽,
90+5', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- LGKS 38 Podlesianka
Polish Division 3 - Group III
05.10.24	Polonia Słubice - LGKS 38 Podlesianka	1:2 ✺
27.09.24	LGKS 38 Podlesianka - Stilon Gorzów Wielkopolski	1:2 ✺
21.09.24	LGKS 38 Podlesianka - Odra Bytom Odrzański	0:0 ✺
17.09.24	LGKS 38 Podlesianka - Śląsk Wrocław 2	0:1 ✺
13.09.24	Kluczbork - LGKS 38 Podlesianka	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLTLW
- Stal Brzeg
Polish Division 3 - Group III
06.10.24	Stal Brzeg - Kluczbork	0:2 ✺
02.10.24	Unia Turza Śląska - Stal Brzeg	1:1 ✺
28.09.24	Śląsk Wrocław 2 - Stal Brzeg	1:1 ✺
22.09.24	Stal Brzeg - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	0:1 ✺
31.08.24	Polkowice - Stal Brzeg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LTTLT

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