Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 5 - Play Offs - Semi-finalsDate: 17 May 2026, Sunday
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LHospitalet |
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Badalona |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.6 |
2.75 |
2.7 |
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2.48 |
2.68 |
2.98 |
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2.49 |
2.47 |
3.52 |
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2.5 |
2.5 |
3.49 |
Watch |
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2.4 |
2.8 |
2.9 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.49 ↑ (2.38) |
2.64 ↓ (3) |
3.12 ↑ (2.85) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
LHospitalet 36.4% | Draw 34.4% | Badalona 29.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
LHospitalet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)Badalona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for LHospitalet than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Badalona than the current prediction. (+2.9%)LHospitalet - Badalona Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 16', 0 - 1, Penalver J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 74', Aguza S. 🟥,
- 90+6', 0 - 2, Martinez M. ⚽,
Preview
First leg.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, LHospitalet won 2.The recent form of both competitors has been shaky. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, LHospitalet won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:17. (average 1:0.9).Including home matches between the teams, LHospitalet won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:6. (average 1.3:0.6).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | CF Badalona | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:4 | 6 | 9 |
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| 7 | L Hospitalet | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 6 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Badalona - the odds 2.85 are the expected chance of winning is 31.79%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5 | | | 03.05.26 | Badalona - LHospitalet | 3:2 | | 04.01.26 | LHospitalet - Badalona | 0:0 | | 16.02.25 | Badalona - LHospitalet | 2:0 | | 06.10.24 | LHospitalet - Badalona | 3:1 | | 09.06.24 | LHospitalet - Badalona | 1:0 | | 02.06.24 | Badalona - LHospitalet | 1:1 | | 11.02.24 | Badalona - LHospitalet | 1:0 |
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