Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 17 - Round 19Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday
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La Almunia |
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Casetas |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.55 |
3.7 |
5.8 |
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1.56 |
3.68 |
5.75 |
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1.57 |
3.4 |
5.5 |
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1.53 |
3.6 |
5.89 |
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1.58 |
3.5 |
5.5 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.56 ↑
(1.54) |
3.58 ↓
(3.64) |
5.69 ↑
(5.64) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
La Almunia
58.5% | Draw
25.5% | Casetas
16% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
La Almunia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Casetas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Almunia than the current prediction. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casetas than the current prediction. (-0.5%)La Almunia - Casetas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 35', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 45', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 61', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 and 18 in the zone Relegation).In recent matches, La Almunia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).Casetas's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).Casetas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, La Almunia is a strong favorite. The teams have not played against each other recently.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 10 | La Almunia | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 7 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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