Match Info

Date: 31 January 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	La Bañeza		Santa Marta Tormes

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.88	2.33
	2.75	2.9	2.5
	2.79	2.97	2.56
	2.75	2.9	2.55
	2.81	2.91	2.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↓ (2.79)	2.91 ↓ (3)	2.5 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

La Bañeza
32.8%

Draw
31.1%

Santa Marta Tormes
36.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.3%

30.1%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

24.9%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

La Bañeza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Santa Marta Tormes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Bañeza than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for La Bañeza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Marta Tormes than the current prediction. (-5%)

La Bañeza - Santa Marta Tormes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Tercera Division to Group 8 (Relegation Group) and 4 in the zone Promotion to Tercera Division to Group 8 (Second stage)).

Recent matches La Bañeza is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Santa Marta Tormes is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Santa Marta Tormes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches La Bañeza won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- La Bañeza FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
24.01.21	Bembibre - La Bañeza	2:1 ✺
16.01.21	La Bañeza - Leonesa B	1:1 ✺
10.01.21	La Bañeza - Becerril	2:0 ✺
19.12.20	Peñaranda - La Bañeza	3:0 ✺
13.12.20	La Bañeza - Salamanca B	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LTWLW
- UD Santa Marta Tormes
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
24.01.21	Santa Marta Tormes - Leonesa B	0:1 ✺
20.01.21	Becerril - Santa Marta Tormes	1:0 ✺
17.01.21	Santa Marta Tormes - Peñaranda	1:0 ✺
13.01.21	Santa Marta Tormes - Salamanca B	0:1 ✺
27.12.20	Bembibre - Santa Marta Tormes	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
28.12.19	Santa Marta Tormes - La Bañeza	0:0
01.12.18	Santa Marta Tormes - La Bañeza	1:1

La Bañeza - Santa Marta Tormes

Match Info

Current Win Probability

La Bañeza - Santa Marta Tormes Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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