Match Info

National 2 - Group A - Round 7

Date: 3 October 2025, Friday


	La Roche VF		Avranches

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.1	2.45
	2.6	3.33	2.38
	2.61	3.28	2.38
	2.6	3.25	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (2.28)	3.24 ↑ (3.22)	2.39 ↓ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

La Roche VF
34.8%

Draw
27.7%

Avranches
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

28.3%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

27.5%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

La Roche VF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that La Roche VF's form might have worsened.

Avranches has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Avranches's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Roche VF than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for La Roche VF, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avranches than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Avranches, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

La Roche VF - Avranches Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

(1 - 0)

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National and 2).

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, La Roche VF won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, La Roche VF won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- La Roche Vendée Football
French National 1 - Group A
19.09.25	Les Herbiers - La Roche VF	2:0 ✺
12.09.25	La Roche VF - Aviron Bayonnais	1:0 ✺
06.09.25	Montlouis - La Roche VF	1:4 ✺
30.08.25	La Roche VF - Dinan-Léhon	4:1 ✺
23.08.25	Lorient II - La Roche VF	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LWWWW
- US Avranches
French National 1 - Group A
19.09.25	Avranches - Stade Poitevin	4:0 ✺
11.09.25	Angoulême - Avranches	1:2 ✺
05.09.25	Avranches - Saint-Malo	1:0 ✺
30.08.25	Olympique de Saumur - Avranches	2:0 ✺
23.08.25	Avranches - Voltigeurs de Châteaubriant	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

French National 1 - Group B
10.05.25	Avranches - La Roche VF	1:2
01.03.25	La Roche VF - Avranches	0:0

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