Match Info

National 2 - Group A - Round 22

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	TV7


	La Roche VF		Bordeaux

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.75	2.45
	2.88	2.72	2.52
	2.94	2.67	2.57
	2.93	2.73	2.59
	2.75	2.88	2.4
	2.9	3.1	2.49
	3.25	3	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.55)	2.84 ↓ (3)	2.44 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

La Roche VF
31%

Draw
31.9%

Bordeaux
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

30.4%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

29.7%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

La Roche VF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Bordeaux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Roche VF than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for La Roche VF, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bordeaux than the current prediction. (-4%)

La Roche VF - Bordeaux Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
82', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National).

Both teams have triumphed in their latest matches.

Bordeaux may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, La Roche VF won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, La Roche VF won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- La Roche Vendée Football
French National 1 - Group A
13.03.26	Avranches - La Roche VF	0:1 ✺
06.03.26	La Roche VF - Les Herbiers	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	La Roche VF - Montlouis	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Dinan-Léhon - La Roche VF	2:4 ✺
30.01.26	La Roche VF - Granville	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WTWWW
- Girondins de Bordeaux
French National 1 - Group A
14.03.26	Bordeaux - Stade Poitevin	1:0 ✺
06.03.26	Angoulême - Bordeaux	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Bordeaux - Saint-Malo	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Olympique de Saumur - Bordeaux	0:2 ✺
07.02.26	Bordeaux - Voltigeurs de Châteaubriant	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

French National 1 - Group A
18.10.25	Bordeaux - La Roche VF	3:0
French National 1 - Group B
26.04.25	Bordeaux - La Roche VF	1:0
14.12.24	La Roche VF - Bordeaux	0:1

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