Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 5

Date: 1 October 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	La Unión		Vélez

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La Unión
29.9%

Draw
30.1%

Vélez
40%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25.4%

27.5%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25%

27%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

La Unión has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Vélez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vélez might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Unión than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vélez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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La Unión is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vélez is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- La Unión CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
24.09.23	Sevilla B - La Unión	2:0 ✺
17.09.23	La Unión - San Roque de Lepe	4:1 ✺
10.09.23	Racing Cartagena MM - La Unión	1:0 ✺
03.09.23	La Unión - Linense	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
19.08.23	La Unión - Racing Cartagena MM	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWLLT
- Vélez CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
24.09.23	Vélez - Antoniano	2:1 ✺
17.09.23	Cartagena B - Vélez	1:2 ✺
10.09.23	Vélez - Orihuela	2:0 ✺
03.09.23	El Palo - Vélez	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
26.08.23	Vélez - Estepona	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WWWTW

La Unión - Vélez