The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
La Virgen del Camino 17.7%
Draw 34.1%
Santa Marta Tormes 48.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.7%
29%
33.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.1%
30.1%
32.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
La Virgen del Camino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that La Virgen del Camino's form might have worsened.
Santa Marta Tormes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Santa Marta Tormes's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Virgen del Camino than the current prediction. (+21.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for La Virgen del Camino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Marta Tormes than the current prediction. (-16.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Santa Marta Tormes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
La Virgen del Camino - Santa Marta Tormes Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Chopi ⚽,
31', 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
83', 🟥,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 8 (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, La Virgen won 3.
La Virgen is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Santa Marta Tormes has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, La Virgen won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:14. (average 1.9:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, La Virgen won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:3. (average 2:0.6).
Watch
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