Match Info

Date: 12 September 2020, Saturday


	Lada Dimitrovgrad		Volga Ulyanovsk

	1	X	2
	3	3.6	2
	3	3.3	2.04
	3.11	3.22	2.33
	3.56	3.16	2.04	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↓ (4)	3.32 ↑ (3.3)	2.1 ↑ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lada Dimitrovgrad
28.9%

Draw
27.6%

Volga Ulyanovsk
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.7%

26.3%

52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.3%

20.9%

65.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lada Dimitrovgrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lada Dimitrovgrad's performance.

Volga Ulyanovsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Volga Ulyanovsk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lada Dimitrovgrad than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lada Dimitrovgrad that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volga Ulyanovsk than the current prediction. (+21.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Volga Ulyanovsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 and 3).

Lada Dimitrovgrad is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Volga Ulyanovsk is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recently Lada Dimitrovgrad have a series of guest games.

Volga Ulyanovsk will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lada Dimitrovgrad won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lada Dimitrovgrad
Russian FNL 2 Group 4
06.09.20	Volna Kovernino - Lada Dimitrovgrad	1:0 ✺
29.08.20	KAMAZ - Lada Dimitrovgrad	4:0 ✺
24.08.20	Lada Dimitrovgrad - Zenit Izhevsk	2:0 ✺
Russian Cup
19.08.20	KAMAZ - Lada Dimitrovgrad	2:1 penalties ✺
Russian FNL 2 Group 4
15.08.20	Zvezda Perm - Lada Dimitrovgrad	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLWLL
- FC Volga Ulyanovsk
Russian FNL 2 Group 4
06.09.20	Lada Togliatti - Volga Ulyanovsk	0:3 ✺
Russian Cup
02.09.20	Volga Ulyanovsk - KAMAZ	2:0 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Group 4
23.08.20	Volga Ulyanovsk - Krylya Sovetov 2	1:0 ✺
Russian Cup
19.08.20	Volna Kovernino - Volga Ulyanovsk	0:1 penalties ✺
Russian FNL 2 Group 4
15.08.20	Chelyabinsk - Volga Ulyanovsk	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian PFL Ural-Povolzhye
10.09.19	Volga Ulyanovsk - Lada Dimitrovgrad	0:1

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