Match Info

Suomen Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 6 May 2025, Tuesday

Location: Lahden kisapuisto (Lahti)


	Lahden Reipas		Mikkelin Palloilijat

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.5	1.98
	3.25	3.75	1.91
	3.08	3.71	1.95
	3.26	3.9	1.91	Watch
	2.9	3.4	2.05
	3.35	3.93	1.94
	3.25	3.75	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↓ (3.96)	3.71 ↓ (3.8)	1.95 ↑ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lahden Reipas
28.9%

Draw
24.5%

Mikkelin Palloilijat
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23%

24%

53%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

23.1%

55.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lahden Reipas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lahden Reipas's performance.

Mikkelin Palloilijat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mikkelin Palloilijat might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lahden Reipas than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lahden Reipas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mikkelin Palloilijat than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mikkelin Palloilijat could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Lahden Reipas - Mikkelin Palloilijat Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Mikkelin Palloilijat will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Munukka A. (G) 15. Klinga M. (C) 14. Kose B. 10. Kostian J. 18. Kurki V. 22. Nieminen E. 21. Niskanen R. 8. Paalanen A. 19. Riihela E. 11. Traore B. 25. Vaisanen K.	1. Volotinen S. (G) 24. Ali Abubakar T. 7. Chishima A. 13. Coker M. 6. El Alami R. (C) 16. Forsell N. 19. Janhunen V. 3. Kuismala J. 4. Laiho V. 2. Torniainen A. 25. Tsopgni N.
Substitutes
5. Friberg J. 17. Kettunen T. 16. Koykka M. 6. Kuparinen E. 12. Ndabawedje J. 26. Niskanen O. 13. Ratto V. (G) 4. Rokkonen M.	11. Hayhanen O. 10. Mami A. 14. Snellman M. 22. Uronen J. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Laiho V. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Ndabawedje J. 🟨,
53', Kuismala J. 🟨,
73', Kostian J. ↓, Kuparinen E. ↑,
73', Ali Abubakar T. ↓, Hayhanen O. ↑,
75', Chishima A. 🟨,
Penalties (2 - 4)
1, Paalanen A. (Pen),
1, Forsell N. (Pen),
2, Kurki V. (Pen),
2, Laiho V. (Pen),
3, Klinga M. (Pen),
3, Torniainen A. (Pen),
4, Riihela E. (Pen),
4, Coker M. (Pen),

Preview

Reipas is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Mikkelin Palloilijat has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Mikkelin Palloilijat may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Mikkelin Palloilijat is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Reipas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.5:3).

Including home match between the teams, Reipas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lahden Reipas
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
02.05.25	Lahden Reipas - Haminan Pallo-Kissat	0:2 ✺
26.04.25	VJS Vantaa - Lahden Reipas	5:1 ✺
19.04.25	Lahden Reipas - Honka	1:3 ✺
Finnish Cup
12.04.25	Lahden Reipas - Lahti	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
18.03.25	Lahti - Lahden Reipas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.5 LLLWL
- Mikkelin Palloilijat
Finnish Ykkonen
03.05.25	Mikkelin Palloilijat - Jazz Pori	0:0 ✺
26.04.25	Espoon Palloseura - Mikkelin Palloilijat	3:1 ✺
19.04.25	Mikkelin Palloilijat - RoPS	0:1 ✺
11.04.25	Inter Turku II - Mikkelin Palloilijat	4:0 ✺
Club Friendly
05.04.25	Lahti - Mikkelin Palloilijat	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kakkonen Group A
24.08.19	Mikkelin Palloilijat - Lahden Reipas	3:0
09.06.19	Lahden Reipas - Mikkelin Palloilijat	1:3

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