The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lajeadense 35.2%
Draw 29.7%
GE Bagé 35%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.5%
28.6%
26.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.2%
28.8%
27.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lajeadense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lajeadense's form might have worsened.
GE Bagé has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting GE Bagé's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lajeadense than the current prediction. (+9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lajeadense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for GE Bagé than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for GE Bagé, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
0%
80%
Lajeadense - GE Bagé Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Lajeadense will win (votes: 1 - 20%). GE Bagé will win (votes: 4 - 80%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Lajeadense (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): GE Bagé will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Lajeadense (votes: 2 - 20%). GE Bagé (votes: 8 - 80%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
71', 1 - 0, ⚽,
74', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Gaucho 2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Gaucho 2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lajeadense won 3.
Lajeadense is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
GE Bagé's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Lajeadense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, GE Bagé has had a series of home games.
Lajeadense might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Lajeadense won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:3. (average 1.4:0.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Lajeadense won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:0. (average 1.5:0).
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