Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP I - ROUND 14

Date: 4 December 2022, Sunday


	Lamezia Terme		Locri

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.2	3.5
	1.82	3.38	3.72
	1.62	3.6	4.5
	1.97	3	4.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.55)	3.3 ↓ (3.76)	3.94 ↓ (5.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lamezia Terme
49.5%

Draw
27.5%

Locri
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

23.9%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5%

22.7%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lamezia Terme has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lamezia Terme's form might have worsened.

Locri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Locri's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lamezia Terme than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lamezia Terme, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Locri than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Locri, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs)).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Locri could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Lamezia Terme is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Lamezia Terme
Italian Serie D - Group I
13.11.22	Vibonese - Lamezia Terme	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
09.11.22	Lamezia Terme - Cittanovese	3:0 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group I
06.11.22	Lamezia Terme - Licata	1:1 ✺
30.10.22	San Luca - Lamezia Terme	1:0 ✺
23.10.22	Lamezia Terme - Ragusa	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TWTLW
- AC Locri 1909
Italian Serie D - Group I
27.11.22	Locri - Canicattì	3:1 ✺
13.11.22	Locri - Città di SantAgata	2:1 ✺
06.11.22	Paternò - Locri	1:0 ✺
19.10.22	Catania - Locri	2:0 ✺
16.10.22	Locri - Vibonese	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLLL

Lamezia Terme - Locri: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide