Match Info

ARGENTINA: Reserve League - First stage - Round 12

Date: 16 May 2024, Thursday


	Lanús 2		Boca Juniors 2

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.1	2.45
	2.7	3	2.5	Watch
	2.83	3	2.62
	2.83	2.98	2.62
	2.45	3.1	2.62
	2.7	2.89	2.56
	2.7	3	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.68)	3.01 ↑ (2.97)	2.55 ↓ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lanús 2
34%

Draw
30.3%

Boca Juniors 2
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

31.1%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

30.6%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lanús 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Boca Juniors 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lanús 2 than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boca Juniors 2 than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Lanús 2 - Boca Juniors 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', 1 - 0, Cardillo M. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (First stage ~ Play Offs: ) and 7).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Lanús 2 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lanús 2 won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Lanús 2 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lanús 2
Argentinian Reserve League
08.05.24	Huracán Buenos Aires 2 - Lanús 2	0:1 ✺
24.04.24	Lanús 2 - Independiente 2	2:0 ✺
18.04.24	Tigre 2 - Lanús 2	3:2 ✺
10.04.24	Lanús 2 - Estudiantes La Plata 2	2:2 ✺
02.04.24	Lanús 2 - Banfield 2	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWLTL
- Boca Juniors 2
Argentinian Reserve League
10.05.24	Boca Juniors 2 - Defensa y Justicia 2	0:1 ✺
02.05.24	Huracán Buenos Aires 2 - Boca Juniors 2	1:5 ✺
23.04.24	Godoy Cruz 2 - Boca Juniors 2	1:0 ✺
17.04.24	Boca Juniors 2 - Platense 2	2:1 ✺
11.04.24	Central Córdoba 2 - Boca Juniors 2	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
14.09.23	Lanús 2 - Boca Juniors 2	2:3
08.06.23	Lanús 2 - Boca Juniors 2	0:1
01.11.22	Lanús 2 - Boca Juniors 2	0:2
14.09.22	Boca Juniors 2 - Lanús 2	1:1
13.04.22	Boca Juniors 2 - Lanús 2	1:3

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