Match Info

Reserve League - Apertura - Round 17

Date: 9 June 2026, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play, TNT Sports Premium


	Lanús 2		Independiente 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	3.25	2.87
	1.94	3.35	3.30	Watch
	2.15	3.49	3.19
	2.19	3.22	3.12	Watch
	2.10	3.25	2.90
	2.18	3.55	3.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (2.05)	3.35 ↑ (3.1)	3.07 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lanús 2
43.1%

Draw
27.2%

Independiente 2
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

28.7%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

29.9%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lanús 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Independiente 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lanús 2 than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente 2 than the current prediction. (-3%)

Lanús 2 - Independiente 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
11', 0 - 1, ⚽,
30', 0 - 2, ⚽,
40', 0 - 3, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', 0 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lanús 2 won 2.

Lanús 2 has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Independiente 2 is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Lanús 2 could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Lanús 2 won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Lanús 2 won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lanús 2
Argentinian Reserve League
04.06.26	Atlético de Rafaela 2 - Lanús 2	1:7 ✺
28.05.26	Lanús 2 - Platense 2	0:2 ✺
19.05.26	Quilmes 2 - Lanús 2	0:2 ✺
14.05.26	Lanús 2 - Estudiantes La Plata 2	1:4 ✺
06.05.26	Central Córdoba 2 - Lanús 2	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLWLW
- CA Independiente 2
Argentinian Reserve League
02.06.26	Independiente 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	1:0 ✺
26.05.26	Defensa y Justicia 2 - Independiente 2	1:1 ✺
19.05.26	Independiente 2 - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 2	5:0 ✺
14.05.26	Huracán Buenos Aires 2 - Independiente 2	1:0 ✺
05.05.26	Independiente 2 - Ferro 2	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
02.10.25	Independiente 2 - Lanús 2	3:1
29.04.25	Lanús 2 - Independiente 2	2:2
03.10.24	Independiente 2 - Lanús 2	1:1
24.04.24	Lanús 2 - Independiente 2	2:0
27.05.23	Lanús 2 - Independiente 2	1:0
10.08.22	Independiente 2 - Lanús 2	1:2
29.04.22	Lanús 2 - Independiente 2	1:2

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