Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 12 - ROUND 19

Date: 4 February 2024, Sunday


	Lanzarote		Gran Tarajal

	1	X	2
	1.25	5	9.75
	1.26	4.84	9
	1.25	4.95	10.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.34)	4.93 ↑ (4.31)	9.78 ↑ (7.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lanzarote
72.3%

Draw
18.4%

Gran Tarajal
9.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67%

20.8%

12.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.1%

20.2%

11.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lanzarote has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lanzarote's performance.

Gran Tarajal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanzarote than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gran Tarajal than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 12 (Play Offs: ) and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Lanzarote is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Gran Tarajal is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lanzarote could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Gran Tarajal have a series of home games.

In this match Lanzarote is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Lanzarote won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Lanzarote won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Lanzarote
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
27.01.24	Teror - Lanzarote	1:2 ✺
20.01.24	Unión Sur Yaiza - Lanzarote	0:0 ✺
14.01.24	Lanzarote - Tamaraceite	1:0 ✺
07.01.24	Herbania - Lanzarote	2:1 ✺
17.12.23	Lanzarote - Buzanada	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WTWLW
- UD Gran Tarajal
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
28.01.24	Gran Tarajal - Tenerife B	0:1 ✺
21.01.24	Gran Tarajal - Ibarra	0:0 ✺
14.01.24	Atlético Victoria - Gran Tarajal	4:2 ✺
07.01.24	Gran Tarajal - San Bartolomé	2:1 ✺
17.12.23	Gran Tarajal - La Cuadra-Unión Puerto	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
17.09.23	Gran Tarajal - Lanzarote	2:2
19.03.23	Lanzarote - Gran Tarajal	2:0
20.11.22	Gran Tarajal - Lanzarote	1:3
23.01.22	Gran Tarajal - Lanzarote	1:1

Lanzarote - Gran Tarajal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide