Match Info

Reserve League - Apertura - Round 7

Date: 1 April 2025, Tuesday


	Lanús 2		Vélez Sársfield 2

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.1	2.5
	2.95	3.15	2.27
	2.77	3.34	2.34	Watch
	2.25	3.3	2.86
	3.06	3.48	2.2
	2.95	3.15	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.27)	3.25 ↓ (3.3)	2.41 ↓ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Lanús 2
33.5%

Draw
28.3%

Vélez Sársfield 2
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

27.9%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

27.8%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lanús 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lanús 2's form might have worsened.

Vélez Sársfield 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vélez Sársfield 2's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lanús 2 than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lanús 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield 2 than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vélez Sársfield 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Lanús 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2 Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Lanús 2 will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
2', 0 - 1, Ramirez B. ⚽,
27', 0 - 2, Montoro F. ⚽,
41', 1 - 2, Chamorro A. V. ⚽,
44', 1 - 3, Cabral R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
83', 1 - 4, Godoy D. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Lanús 2 is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vélez 2 is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Lanús 2 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:11 (average 1:2.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lanús 2
Argentinian Reserve League
27.03.25	River Plate 2 - Lanús 2	3:1 ✺
18.03.25	Lanús 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2	1:1 ✺
12.03.25	Talleres de Córdoba 2 - Lanús 2	1:4 ✺
07.03.25	Lanús 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	0:1 ✺
26.02.25	Rosario Central 2 - Lanús 2	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTWLL
- Vélez Sársfield 2
Argentinian Reserve League
27.03.25	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Godoy Cruz 2	1:1 ✺
21.03.25	Independiente 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	1:2 ✺
13.03.25	Vélez Sársfield 2 - San Lorenzo 2	2:1 ✺
06.03.25	Instituto 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	0:1 ✺
27.02.25	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Platense 2	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
30.06.24	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Lanús 2	1:0 penalties
04.07.23	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Lanús 2	2:0
20.07.22	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Lanús 2	6:1
31.03.22	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Lanús 2	2:3

Upcoming Matches