Match Info

Reserve League - Apertura - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 27 June 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3


	River Plate 2		Lanús 2

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.60	4.40
	1.68	3.45	4.10	Watch
	1.64	3.89	4.82
	1.63	3.88	4.61	Watch
	1.61	3.85	4.70
	1.68	3.88	4.66
	1.64	3.70	4.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.95)	3.75 ↑ (3.35)	4.56 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

River Plate 2
55.6%

Draw
24.4%

Lanús 2
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

26.7%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

26%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

River Plate 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in River Plate 2's performance.

Lanús 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lanús 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate 2 than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with River Plate 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lanús 2 than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lanús 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

River Plate 2 - Lanús 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
23', 1 - 0, ⚽,
29', 1 - 1, ⚽,
43', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
88', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

River Plate 2 is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Lanús 2 has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, River Plate 2 is seen as the favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, River Plate 2 won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:6. (average 2.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, River Plate 2 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- River Plate 2
Argentinian Reserve League
17.06.26	Banfield 2 - River Plate 2	0:1 ✺
09.06.26	River Plate 2 - Rosario Central 2	2:1 ✺
02.06.26	Tigre 2 - River Plate 2	0:2 ✺
28.05.26	River Plate 2 - San Lorenzo 2	1:1 ✺
21.05.26	Vélez Sársfield 2 - River Plate 2	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWTL
- Lanús 2
Argentinian Reserve League
18.06.26	Boca Juniors 2 - Lanús 2	0:1 ✺
09.06.26	Lanús 2 - Independiente 2	0:4 ✺
04.06.26	Atlético de Rafaela 2 - Lanús 2	1:7 ✺
28.05.26	Lanús 2 - Platense 2	0:2 ✺
19.05.26	Quilmes 2 - Lanús 2	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
22.08.25	Lanús 2 - River Plate 2	0:0
27.03.25	River Plate 2 - Lanús 2	3:1
23.06.24	Lanús 2 - River Plate 2	3:1
02.03.23	River Plate 2 - Lanús 2	2:1
24.06.22	Lanús 2 - River Plate 2	1:5

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