Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Round 20

Date: 2 February 2025, Sunday


	Las Palmas B		UD San Fernando

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.3	4.8
	1.66	3.4	4.9
	1.68	3.4	4.92
	1.65	3.44	5.28	Watch
	1.7	3.46	5.25
	1.66	3.4	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.53)	3.4 ↓ (3.65)	5.01 ↓ (5.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Las Palmas B
54.9%

Draw
26.9%

UD San Fernando
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.4%

24.9%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

24.2%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Las Palmas B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

UD San Fernando has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Palmas B than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Las Palmas B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UD San Fernando than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Las Palmas B - UD San Fernando Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Navarro C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+7', 🟥,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 12 (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Las Palmas B won 1.

Las Palmas B in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches UD San Fernando is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Las Palmas B could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Las Palmas B is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Las Palmas B to win the game is with odds 1.48.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Las Palmas B won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7:8 (average 1:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Las Palmas B won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:1 (average 0.7:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Las Palmas B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
24.01.25	Unión Viera - Las Palmas B	1:2 ✺
19.01.25	Las Palmas B - Estrella	3:0 ✺
11.01.25	Las Palmas B - Arcángel San Miguel	4:0 ✺
21.12.24	Ibarra - Las Palmas B	1:1 ✺
15.12.24	Las Palmas B - Los Llanos de Aridane	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWWTW
- UD San Fernando
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
26.01.25	UD San Fernando - Herbania	1:0 ✺
18.01.25	San Bartolomé - UD San Fernando	1:0 ✺
11.01.25	Santa Úrsula - UD San Fernando	1:1 ✺
08.01.25	Marino - UD San Fernando	3:1 ✺
22.12.24	UD San Fernando - Buzanada	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
22.09.24	UD San Fernando - Las Palmas B	1:1
07.05.23	UD San Fernando - Las Palmas B	2:1
30.04.23	Las Palmas B - UD San Fernando	1:0
03.02.23	UD San Fernando - Las Palmas B	1:1
02.10.22	Las Palmas B - UD San Fernando	0:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
27.03.22	UD San Fernando - Las Palmas B	3:2
07.11.21	Las Palmas B - UD San Fernando	1:0

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