Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Round 21Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday
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Las Palmas C |
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UD San Fernando |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.28 |
2.92 |
3 |
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2.19 |
3.06 |
3.32 |
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2.22 |
3.07 |
3.23 |
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2.25 |
2.8 |
3.2 |
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2.25 |
2.97 |
3.12 |
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2.2 |
3.1 |
3.1 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.23 ↓
(2.25) |
2.99 ↑
(2.98) |
3.16 ↑
(3.11) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Las Palmas C
40.8% | Draw
30.5% | UD San Fernando
28.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Las Palmas C has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)UD San Fernando has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Palmas C than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for UD San Fernando than the current prediction. (-0.7%)Las Palmas C - UD San Fernando Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 65', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 65', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 65', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 90+2', 2 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 8 and 6)In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Las Palmas C won 2.In recent matches, Las Palmas C has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).UD San Fernando is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).UD San Fernando may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Las Palmas C will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Las Palmas C won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.3:1.6).Including home matches between the teams, Las Palmas C won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Fernando | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:2 | 9 | 9 |
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| 6 | Las Palmas C | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 7 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12 | | | 28.09.25 | UD San Fernando - Las Palmas C | 2:1 | | 07.04.21 | UD San Fernando - Las Palmas C | 2:1 | | 24.10.20 | Las Palmas C - UD San Fernando | 1:3 | | 21.12.19 | Las Palmas C - UD San Fernando | 2:0 | | 30.03.19 | Las Palmas C - UD San Fernando | 2:1 | | 09.11.18 | UD San Fernando - Las Palmas C | 1:2 | | Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs | | | 01.04.18 | UD San Fernando - Las Palmas C | 2:0 |
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