Match Info

UEFA Nations League - League C - Round 3

Date: 2 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Skonto stadions (Riga) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Gidzhenov R. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	13:00	Disney+
Armenia	20:00	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	02:00	beIN Connect
Austria	18:00	DAZN
Azerbaijan	20:00	CBC Sport
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:00	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	13:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	19:00	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	12:00	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network
Chile	13:00	Disney+
Colombia	11:00	Disney+
Croatia	18:00	MAXtv To Go, SportKlub 2
Cyprus	19:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech Republic	18:00	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	18:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Estonia	19:00	Go3 Extra Sports
Europe	—	UEFA TV
Finland	19:00	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
Germany	18:00	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	19:00	Nova Sports 2
Iceland	16:00	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
India	21:30	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Vision+
Indonesia	23:00	K-Vision
Israel	19:00	Sport 3
Japan	01:00	DAZN Japan
Kenya	19:00	Gotv
Kosovo	18:00	Arena Premium 3, ART Sport 1
Latvia	19:00	LTV 7
Lithuania	19:00	Go3 Extra Sports
Mexico	10:00	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Montenegro	18:00	TVCG 2
New Zealand	05:00	beIN Connect
Nigeria	17:00	Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North Macedonia	18:00	Arena Premium 3
Norway	18:00	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Pakistan	21:00	Tapmad
Peru	11:00	Disney+
Romania	19:00	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	19:00	Okko Prime, Okko Sport
Serbia	18:00	Arena Premium 3
Slovenia	18:00	SportKlub 3
South Africa	18:00	SuperSport Premier League
South America	—	ViX Latin America
South Korea	01:00	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	18:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	18:00	Viaplay
Switzerland	18:00	DAZN Switzerland
Ukraine	19:00	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
Uruguay	13:00	Disney+
Usa	12:00	Fox Soccer Plus, FOX Sports 2, Tubi TV
Venezuela	12:00	Disney+


	Latvia		Montenegro

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.80	1.62
	4.80	3.50	1.68
	5.10	3.65	1.68
	5.43	3.84	1.70
	4.8	3.71	1.74	Watch
	5.40	3.75	1.65
	5.43	3.77	1.69	Watch
	5.00	3.65	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.15 ↑ (4.78)	3.71 ↑ (3.39)	1.68 ↓ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Latvia
18.3%

Draw
25.5%

Montenegro
56.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

19.7%

27.7%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Latvia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Montenegro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.7%	6.7%	86.7%

Latvia - Montenegro Predictions

Users Predictions: Montenegro will win (26 of 29 users predict this - 89.66%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.58% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Montenegro will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Matrevics R. (G) RFS 11. Savalnieks R. RFS 21. Melniks D. Falkirk 5. Cernomordijs A. (C) Riga FC 4. Vientiess O. Teplice 3. Cirkin D. QPR 6. Patijcuks D. FK Liepaja 10. Vapne L. Sogndal 15. Zelenkovs D. RFS 14. Ciganiks A. Luzern 20. Uldrikis R. Heerenveen	1. Popovic B. (G) Olympiacos Piraeus 7. Vesovic M. Lok. Zagreb 6. Rubezic S. Korona Kielce 5. Vujacic I. Rubin Kazan 3. Radunovic R. FCSB 22. Loncar S. Akron Togliatti 8. Jankovic M. Qarabag Agdam 17. Adzic V. Sassuolo 20. Osmajic M. Genoa 9. Krstovic N. Atalanta 10. Jovetic S. (C) AEL Limassol
Substitutes
18. Aleksanjan A. Norrkoping 2. Balodis D. FK Auda Riga 16. Cudars K. Ogre United 7. Daskevics E. FK Auda Riga 8. Emsis E. Super Nova 9. Gutkovskis V. Arka Gdynia 13. Jurkovskis R. Riga FC 12. Orols F. (G) Riga FC 1. Purins N. (G) FK Auda Riga 22. Saveljevs A. Asia Talas 17. Strods M. Bohemians 19. Tonisevs M. Riga FC	4. Brnovic M. Arsenal Tula 21. Bulatovic A. Lens 19. Djukanovic V. Gyor 18. Latkovic A. Varazdin 14. Milic S. Partizan 13. Nikic I. (G) Campionii Arges 16. Perovic M. Rakow Czestochowa 12. Petkovic D. (G) FK Liepaja 2. Roganovic M. Genk 15. Savic S. Trabzonspor 11. Simun M. Sutjeska 23. Vukovic D. Lok. Zagreb
Coaches
Nicolato P.	Vucinic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Adzic V. ⚽, Radunovic R. (A),
28', Savalnieks R. ↓, Jurkovskis R. ↑,
39', Cernomordijs A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', 0 - 2, Adzic V. ⚽,
60', Radunovic R. ↓, Perovic M. ↑,
61', Jankovic M. ↓, Djukanovic V. ↑,
61', Osmajic M. ↓, Brnovic M. ↑,
65', Cernomordijs A. ↓, Daskevics E. ↑,
65', Uldrikis R. ↓, Gutkovskis V. ↑,
68', Krstovic N. ↓, Latkovic A. ↑,
78', Jovetic S. ↓, Vukovic D. ↑,
78', Zelenkovs D. ↓, Cudars K. ↑,
78', Patijcuks D. ↓, Strods M. ↑,
82', 1 - 2, Strods M. ⚽, Cudars K. (A),
90+4', Latkovic A. 🟨,

Preview

Latvia is ranked FIFA: 137., and Montenegro is ranked FIFA: 80..

Bookmakers give the edge to Montenegro for this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Latvia has recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:5 (averaging 0.5:1.3 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Latvia
UEFA Nations League
28.09.26	Latvia - Cyprus	0:0 ✺
25.09.26	Armenia - Latvia	2:0 ✺
Baltic Cup
09.06.26	Latvia - Faroe Islands	0:1 ✺
06.06.26	Lithuania - Latvia	2:1 penalties ✺
UEFA Nations League
31.03.26	Latvia - Gibraltar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TLLLW
- Montenegro
UEFA Nations League
28.09.26	Armenia - Montenegro	2:3 ✺
25.09.26	Montenegro - Cyprus	2:1 ✺
Friendly
05.06.26	Slovakia - Montenegro	2:2 ✺
01.06.26	Bulgaria - Montenegro	0:1 ✺
31.03.26	Montenegro - Slovenia	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
07.09.21	Montenegro - Latvia	0:0
24.03.21	Latvia - Montenegro	1:2
Friendly
07.10.20	Montenegro - Latvia	1:1
15.08.12	Montenegro - Latvia	2:0

Latvia - Montenegro