Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP H - ROUND 13

Date: 27 November 2022, Sunday


	Lavello		Bitonto

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.08	2.73
	2.37	3.3	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.81)	3.19 ↑ (2.91)	2.72 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lavello
38.2%

Draw
28.4%

Bitonto
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

29.9%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

27%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lavello has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lavello's performance.

Bitonto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bitonto might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lavello than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lavello that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bitonto than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bitonto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out) and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out)).

Recent matches Lavello is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bitonto is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bitonto could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Lavello won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Lavello won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Lavello
Italian Serie D - Group H
20.11.22	Barletta - Lavello	3:2 ✺
13.11.22	Lavello - Cavese	2:1 ✺
06.11.22	Altamura - Lavello	3:0 ✺
23.10.22	Afragolese - Lavello	1:1 ✺
16.10.22	Lavello - Molfetta	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 LWLTT
- US Bitonto
Italian Serie D - Group H
20.11.22	Bitonto - Francavilla	1:0 ✺
13.11.22	Bitonto - Gladiator	2:2 ✺
06.11.22	Cavese - Bitonto	1:0 ✺
30.10.22	Bitonto - Nardo	0:1 ✺
23.10.22	Molfetta - Bitonto	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
14.04.22	Bitonto - Lavello	0:1
04.12.21	Lavello - Bitonto	2:1
21.03.21	Lavello - Bitonto	2:1

Lavello - Bitonto: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide