Match Info

ITALY: PRIMAVERA 1 - ROUND 27

Date: 1 April 2024, Monday


	Lazio U19		Sampdoria U19

	1	X	2
	1.77	3.5	3.7
	1.85	3.89	3.74
	1.85	3.89	3.74
	1.79	3.6	3.84
	1.8	3.6	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.67)	3.7 ↑ (3.4)	3.74 ↓ (4.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lazio U19
50.7%

Draw
24.8%

Sampdoria U19
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

26.7%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

25.7%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lazio U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Sampdoria U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sampdoria U19's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lazio U19 than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lazio U19, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sampdoria U19 than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sampdoria U19, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', Leonardi S. 🟨,
27', 0 - 1, Leonardi S. ⚽,
28', Bordon F. ↓, Nazzaro M. ↑,
33', Conti F. 🟨,
38', Malanca L. 🟨,
39', 1 - 1, Sardo J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
64', D'amore F. 🟨,
69', Pozzato S. ↓, Chilafi A. ↑,
73', 2 - 1, Sulejmani F. ⚽,
79', Gonzalez D. ↓, Balde M. ↑,
79', Bedini F. ↓, Zazza M. ↑,
80', Valisena N. ↓, Polli L. ↑,
80', Georgiadis C. ↓, Costantino L. ↑,
88', Costantino L. 🟨,
90', Sardo J. ↓, Cappelli T. ↑,
90', Fernandes S. ↓, Napolitano L. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primavera 1 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lazio U19 won 1.

Lazio U19 is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sampdoria U19 is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Lazio U19 is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Lazio U19 to win the game is with odds 1.81.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Lazio U19 won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Lazio U19 won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lazio U19
Italian Primavera 1
17.03.24	Milan U19 - Lazio U19	2:0 ✺
11.03.24	Lazio U19 - Bologna U19	3:0 ✺
02.03.24	Lazio U19 - Frosinone U19	2:0 ✺
25.02.24	Sassuolo U19 - Lazio U19	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Primavera
21.02.24	Torino U19 - Lazio U19	2:3 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 LWWWW
- Sampdoria U19
Italian Primavera 1
16.03.24	Sampdoria U19 - Verona U19	1:2 ✺
10.03.24	Frosinone U19 - Sampdoria U19	4:0 ✺
02.03.24	Cagliari U19 - Sampdoria U19	1:1 ✺
24.02.24	Sampdoria U19 - Monza U19	0:0 ✺
19.02.24	Juventus U19 - Sampdoria U19	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Primavera 1
04.11.23	Sampdoria U19 - Lazio U19	1:2
27.09.20	Sampdoria U19 - Lazio U19	1:1
17.02.20	Lazio U19 - Sampdoria U19	1:1
04.10.19	Sampdoria U19 - Lazio U19	2:1
05.05.18	Lazio U19 - Sampdoria U19	0:1
16.12.17	Sampdoria U19 - Lazio U19	3:1

Lazio U19 - Sampdoria U19: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide