Match Info

Seconde Ligue Women - Round 14

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday


	Le Mans		Thonon Évian

	1	X	2
	2.02	3.2	3.49	Watch
	2	2.9	3.5
	2.02	3.42	3.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.93)	3.17 ↓ (3.3)	3.47 ↓ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Le Mans
45.2%

Draw
28.6%

Thonon Évian
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

27.5%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

26.5%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Le Mans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Thonon Évian has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Mans than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thonon Évian than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Le Mans - Thonon Évian Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
83', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 5 and 7).

Le Mans has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Thonon Évian is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Le Mans will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Le Mans won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Le Mans won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Le Mans W	3	2	1	0	5:3	2	7
9	Thonon Evian W	3	0	1	2	2:4	-2	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Le Mans FC Women
French Division 2 Women
15.02.26	Reims - Le Mans	0:2 ✺
08.02.26	Le Mans - Saint-Malo	0:2 ✺
01.02.26	Guingamp - Le Mans	0:1 ✺
Coupe De France Women
24.01.26	Nantes - Le Mans	5:0 ✺
French Division 2 Women
18.01.26	Le Mans - Nice	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLWLW
- Thonon Évian Grand Genève FC
French Division 2 Women
15.02.26	Thonon Évian - Grenoble	1:2 ✺
08.02.26	Lille - Thonon Évian	1:1 ✺
French Coupe de la Ligue Women
04.02.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Thonon Évian	3:0 ✺
French Division 2 Women
18.01.26	Thonon Évian - Reims	2:2 ✺
Coupe De France Women
10.01.26	Thonon Évian - Olympique Marseille	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

French Division 2 Women
22.09.24	Le Mans - Thonon Évian	2:0
21.04.24	Le Mans - Thonon Évian	0:2
26.11.23	Thonon Évian - Le Mans	1:0

Le Mans - Thonon Évian: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide