Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 16

Date: 21 December 2024, Saturday


	Lealtad		Mosconia

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.5	4.2
	1.65	3.6	4.6
	1.74	3.41	4.1
	1.76	3.58	4.15	Watch
	1.74	3.54	4.17
	1.65	3.6	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.51)	3.54 ↓ (3.75)	4.3 ↓ (5.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lealtad
53.3%

Draw
25.6%

Mosconia
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

24.2%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8%

23.5%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lealtad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lealtad's form might have worsened.

Mosconia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mosconia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lealtad than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lealtad, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mosconia than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mosconia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lealtad - Mosconia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', 🟥,
83', 1 - 0, Saha M. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Lealtad
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
15.12.24	Praviano - Lealtad	0:0 ✺
06.12.24	Lealtad - Roces	2:0 ✺
01.12.24	Urraca - Lealtad	0:1 ✺
24.11.24	Real Oviedo B - Lealtad	4:1 ✺
17.11.24	Lealtad - Real Titánico	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TWWLT
- CD Mosconia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
15.12.24	Mosconia - Real Oviedo B	0:3 ✺
06.12.24	Real Titánico - Mosconia	1:2 ✺
01.12.24	Mosconia - Tuilla	0:2 ✺
24.11.24	San Martín - Mosconia	0:1 ✺
17.11.24	Mosconia - Caudal Deportivo	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
23.01.22	Lealtad - Mosconia	1:1
19.09.21	Mosconia - Lealtad	1:0
Club Friendly
04.08.21	Lealtad - Mosconia	1:1
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
01.03.20	Mosconia - Lealtad	2:2
07.10.18	Lealtad - Mosconia	2:0

Lealtad - Mosconia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide